Colder than a witch’s tit out there.

[byates1]

Jesus.

[byates1]

That's brick yo

[KQ]

My eyes are watering from the cold and the tears are freezing to my face

5 degrees

[John_B]

-20 in Winthrop, WA I finally got to try the trick or throwing boiling water in the air and watching it condense. Pretty chilly!

[Bunion 2020]

- 16 this morning in the Gallatin Valley, wind has died for now and depending on how motivated I feel I might go out and plow if the sun comes out. Still suppose to get cold here tonight.

[The AD]

Western Nebraska supposed to have wind chills around -60 tonight!

[highangle]

-42*F forecast ambient low temp in West Yellowstone Wednesday night. Damn.

Bro, mags climb and ski in that. Some of us even work...in places where we can read about that shit!

[BFD]

Was working in Prudhoe in Feb. 1989 when barometric pressure in Northway hit 31.85. The temps were predicted to stay below -40 for awhile. Construction was shut down. Oil companies decided it would be cheaper to just fly everyone home until it warmed up. Took advantage of the temperature inversion to ski Hatcher.

[XXX-er]

-35C this am, only -21 up the ski hill so a bit of an inversion, I got enough food & booze so i don't have to go out, sposed to warm up and snow on friday

[highangle]

Was working in Prudhoe in Feb. 1989 when barometric pressure in Northway hit 31.85. The temps were predicted to stay below -40 for awhile. Construction was shut down. Oil companies decided it would be cheaper to just fly everyone home until it warmed up. Took advantage of the temperature inversion to ski Hatcher.

That was a famous snap, there. -50f or worse in FAI for 2 weeks straight. So many dry cabins in Fairbanks...ppl would go to work just to take a warm dump...Was before my time, but I've heard about it enough that it stands out.


Was a few years later, but did Clint H---der's dad ever tell you the one about the sleds gelling up and having to overnight in Maynard's cabin in the Dutch Hills?


Edit: -27 right now at WOW [the little strip at the Willow end of Hatcher Pass Rd]. Which means it's -45 at the Little Su Roadhouse and -15 in TK if there's no wind

[smmokan]

High of -2 here in Boulder tomorrow.

Just read on the NWS Forecast Discussion that as this front moved through Wyoming, the temp dropped 30*F in under 10 minutes. Should be interesting later this afternoon.

[The AD]

In the "at least you're not in Buffalo" file:

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
...Once in a Generation Winter Storm to Slam the Region Heading into
and THROUGH the Christmas Weekend...

Old Man Winter will unleash the full fury of winter upon our region
during this period...as an extremely amplified longwave pattern will
spawn one of the most intense storm systems in decades to impact the
Mid West and Great Lakes region. This system will likely end up
setting low pressure records once it passes north of the border and
will have the potential to generate at LEAST storm force winds over
the Lower Great lakes.

As if the very real threat for damaging winds of 60-70 mph were not
enough...there will also be the risk for a prolonged...paralyzing
heavy lake effect snow event. The very strong to damaging winds,
blowing and drifting snow with localized blizzard conditions
preceded by a rapid flash freeze all coming right before the
Christmas holiday weekend resulted in a *long duration* winter storm
watch being issued for western NY. A Winter Storm Watch has also now
been issued for Jefferson and Lewis county from midday Friday
through Monday. While heavy lake effect snows have already occurred
this winter season...this will be the first event with multiple
impacts from such intense winds. Winter storm watches are already in
effect for parts of western New York with the high component wrapped
into the same product.

An extremely amplified longwave pattern during this period will
spawn one of the most intense storm systems in decades to impact the
Mid West and Great Lakes region. This system will likely end up
setting low pressure records once it passes north of the border and
will have the potential to generate storm force winds over the Lower
Great lakes.

Explosive cyclogenesis will take place over the mid western states
into southern Ontario on Friday...as an anomalously strong 150kt H25
jet will pass through the base of a very deep longwave trough. This
will support rapid deepening of a corresponding sfc low that will
track southern Ontario by late Friday. The `bombing` low will deepen
from roughly 990mb in the vcnty of Lake Erie/Lower Michigan late
Thursday night...to 982mb over southernmost Ontario Friday morning
to about 968mb near the Ontario-Quebec border by Friday evening...
easily meeting the definition of bombogenesis (24mb/24hrs). Such
deepening is relatively rare in the LOWER Great lakes...but more
common across the UPPER Great Lakes and certainly with Nor`easters
along the coast. Some of the parameters of this intense storm are
climatologically `off the charts`...such as MSLP and strength of
both the low level and upper level jets. One could certainly
describe this storm system as a once in a generation type of event.
Subtle differences remain...but there remains general model
agreement in the overall large scale scenario...which adds
confidence.

The rapidly intensifying low is forecast to pass just to our west on
Friday. Winds will ramp up in the cold air advection and during when
max pressure rise/fall couplet crosses. This is about as good as it
gets in terms of maximizing winds/gusts to the sfc. Several guidance
packages are now advertising wind gusts over the IAG Frontier to
near 60 mph late in the day as another intense 70kt LLJ enters the
region. This is NOT when the strongest winds are expected though.
That is yet to come.

In regards to pcpn on Friday...the strong winds will open the door
for MUCH colder air to pour across our forecast area. This will
result in a RAPID change over of the rain to snow with deep
frontogenetic forcing leading to a burst of moderately heavy snow
that will yield accumulations of several inches expected by late
afternoon. Temperatures that will start the day in the low to mid
40s in most areas will PLUMMET into the single digits across the
Srn Tier by the end of the day...while readings will range from the
teens across the remainder of wrn NY to the lower 30s east of Lake
Ontario. This dramatic plunge in temperatures will likely result in
a flash freeze of the snow/water/slush.

As the extremely deep storm system further deepens in place over the
Ontario-Quebec border Friday night...a strong secondary cold
front/sfc trough will plow across our forecast area. This will be
accompanied by the second 70kt low level jet that...being found in
the cold sector...should largely mix to the sfc at times. The threat
for high winds at the sfc will be greatest in the typical corridor
from Lake Erie and the IAG Frontier to Rochester and then to the
Thousand Island region. Increased winds some in these corridors.
Power outages will be a concern as will be blowing snow and drifting
snow.

The widespread synoptic snow during the first half of Friday night
should then taper off as the deepest forcing exits and limited
drying arrives in the mid levels. Meanwhile...a 230-240 flow of -20c
H85 air will promote an area of lake snow to become established
Buffalo northward...across IAG and the Northtowns. The snow...
whether it be synoptic or lake induced in nature...will be blown
around by +50 mph winds so significant blowing and drifting can be
anticipated along with near zero visibility and at least localized
blizzard conditions. As is typically the case...the very strong
southwest flow will also shove a great deal of water up to the
Buffalo end of Lk Erie...so lakeshore flooding will be a
possibility. More specifics on that in the lakeshore flooding
discussion.

A very tight sfc pressure gradient will remain in place across our
forecast area on the day before Christmas...so while the winds
should diminish as bit by way of a weaker LLJ especially later in
the day, they will still be strong enough to possibly cause issues
and certainly to support continued blowing snow. Models have trended
a bit quicker with veering of winds, to more of 240-250 flow so that
more of the Buffalo Metro would be impacted by lake snows Saturday
into Saturday night with the visibility remaining near zero at times
within the band. It will be quite cold with Saturdays highs ranging
from the single digits over the Srn Tier to the teens and low 20s
elsewhere resulting wind chills falling to as low as 10 to 20
degrees below zero.

Christmas Day promises to remain cold with highs only in the teens
to low 20s and winds to 30 mph generating wind chills of 10 below to
just a few degrees abv zero. Meanwhile...a 240-250 flow will keep
the lake snow machine in full gear for sites near and just south of
the Buffalo and Watertown areas. No big change to forecast thinking.

While the very cold weather will persist into Monday...sfc based
ridging should help to at least lessen the potential for additional
significant lake snows later Monday into Tuesday. Possible that
conditions moderate more significantly by middle of next week, but
not surprisingly, not a clear signal yet.

[BCMtnHound]

In the "at least you're not in Buffalo" file:

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
...Once in a Generation Winter Storm to Slam the Region Heading into
and THROUGH the Christmas Weekend...

Old Man Winter will unleash the full fury of winter upon our region
during this period...as an extremely amplified longwave pattern will
spawn one of the most intense storm systems in decades to impact the
Mid West and Great Lakes region. This system will likely end up setting low pressure records once it passes north of the border and
will have the potential to generate at LEAST storm force winds over
the Lower Great lakes.

As if the very real threat for damaging winds of 60-70 mph were not
enough...there will also be the risk for a prolonged...paralyzing
heavy lake effect snow event.

An extremely amplified longwave pattern during this period will spawn one of the most intense storm systems in decades….

Explosive cyclogenesis will take place over the mid western states…. The `bombing` low will deepen …. Some of the parameters of this intense storm are climatologically `off the charts`... One could certainly describe this storm system as a once in a generation type of event.

This is about as good as it gets in terms of maximizing winds/gusts ……this is NOT when the strongest winds are expected though.
That is yet to come.

In regards to pcpn on Friday...the strong winds will open the door for MUCH colder air to pour across our forecast area. This will result in a RAPID change over of the rain to snow ….

Temperatures that will start the day in the low to mid 40s in most areas will PLUMMET into the single digits

...dramatic plunge in temperatures will likely result in a flash freeze of the snow/water/slush.

...will be blown around by +50 mph winds so significant blowing and drifting can be anticipated along with near zero visibility and at least localized blizzard conditions

...so lakeshore flooding will be a
possibility. More specifics on that in the lakeshore flooding
discussion.

...a 240-250 flow will keep
the lake snow machine in full gear for sites near and just south of
the Buffalo and Watertown areas.

Possible that conditions moderate more significantly by middle of next week, but
not surprisingly, not a clear signal yet.

[Bunion 2020]

Today's high was last nights low. Skies have cleared, its fairly calm, going to be a cold night.

[skaredshtles]

Soon:

[KQ]

I'm thinking the horse will be wearing a blanket tonight.

[zion zig zag]

Soon:

Man the cold front line in WY is pretty crazy. You could drive from 25f to -25f in an hour or less.

[concretejungle]

Today's high was last nights low. Skies have cleared, its fairly calm, going to be a cold night.

I went outside last night around 9:30 and it was 25 degrees. It felt downright balmy.

[bennymac]

next three nights - that Friday night temp will tie my previous record

[KQ]

next three nights - that Friday night temp will tie my previous record

Wow. Where are you?

[2FUNKY]

That’s throw boiling water in the air and watch it freeze instantly weather. Yeesh.


Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

[John_B]

That’s throw boiling water in the air and watch it freeze instantly weather. Yeesh.


Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

I did that successfully this morning at -20. I don't think bennymac will even have the chance to get it out of a pot. He will just have one big ice cube.

[BCMtnHound]

Spending the holidays in Dawson, bennymac?

Those temps are prime to restock the sourtoes at the sourdough. Hope you keep yours!

[liv2ski]

Wow. Where are you?

Antarctica?

[bennymac]

Spending the holidays in Dawson, bennymac?

Those temps are prime to restock the sourtoes at the sourdough. Hope you keep yours!

They'll never run out of digits at that bar

Right now it feels like my face is gonna shatter and fall off when out in these temps.

Antarctica?

It's -17 at the South Pole right now. And -53 here. Doesn't feel fit for life outside.