Will Tahoe get this one?

[Buster Highmen]

My crustal ball says yes.

[El Chupacabra]

When's that forecast to touch the U.S.?

[AKA]

Nope. According to NOAA we get nothing.

[Sutter]

This storm system is now officially named "Crusty Balls"

[Buster Highmen]

Saturday, Sierras by Saturday night.

[Buster Highmen]

Nope. According to NOAA we get nothing.

We're getting our usual high, splitting that flow. My guess is that Tahoe will get something.

Then again, contradicting NOAA is not good odds.

[skimoore]

We'll get nothing and like it.

[AKA]

Then again, contradicting NOAA is not good odds.

They say PNW and So-Cal, not us.

[Buster Highmen]

They say PNW and So-Cal, not us.

Our NWAC site says:

...The large upper ridge should remain generally centered over
the south BC coast with the cut off low pressure system
likely lingering over the north California coast....

[GapersGoHome]

Let me just say:

FUUUUCK!!

[AKA]

Now their saying that the models are no longer in agreement which has thrown some doubt into the forecast and offered the possibility of some precip.



we'll see.

[skier666]

I predict the "Oh shit, its going to dump", to the recent "wait, its going south before it even hits the coast". It'll dump huge in NM just wait.

[Buster Highmen]

I'm just doing this to:
0) Titillate the snow starved Tahoeans.
1) Be able to say: "I told you so".

[atomicboy]

As Judge Smalls would say to Spalding, "You'll get nothing, and like it."

[skimoore]

I predict the "Oh shit, its going to dump", to the recent "wait, its going south before it even hits the coast". It'll dump huge in NM just wait.

Hey, maybe Malibu will get all the dumpage again...

[kidwoo]

Anybody want to storm chase this thing to big bear?

[Joey Bag O' Donuts]

I predict the "Oh shit, its going to dump", to the recent "wait, its going south before it even hits the coast". It'll dump huge in NM just wait.

Anyone down for a AZ Snowbowl trip?

[skimoore]

Anybody want to storm chase this thing to big bear?

If you're:
A. Driving
B. Buying all Beer

[GreenRun]

Don't hold your breath. It's currently 42 in the Squaw right now with lots of nice rocks! It could be worse! At least we're skiing.

[kidwoo]

If you're:
A. Driving
B. Buying all Beer

I'm amish.


But I do have a horse that can pull a carriage with the fortitude of ten good men with hardy beards.

[freshies]

the Dweeb says "el Nada"

"WARM UP IN PROGRESS MID WEEK...HIGHS IN THE LOW 50S IN MAMMOTH....PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE DRY AS FAR AS THE MODELS CAN SEE.....EL NINO NOW CRASHING AND BURNING OUT IN THE PACIFIC.....THEN COOLER WEATHER THIS WEEKEND AS FICKEL UPPER CUT OFF SPINS AND DEFYS PREDICTION......POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SHOWERS THIS WEEKEND"
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED OVER CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A VERY WEAK UPPER LOW WILL BRING A LITTLE COOLING AND SOME CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY SHOWER BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS WHAT I CALL A NUISANCE SYSTEM.....IT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS...COOL US OFF AND JUST MAY BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO THE HIGH COUNTRY.

ONE OF THE REASONS WHY THE MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS BECAUSE THERE IS A CHANGE IN THE PATTERN DEVELOPING NEXT WEEK. THE UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL BE RETROGRADING TO 135 WEST IN RESPONSE TO TROPICAL FORCING NEAR 140EAST. SO THE PATTERN WILL ONCE AGAIN GROW COLDER OVER THE FAR WEST AT MONTHS END WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SOME SORT OF INSIDE SLIDER PATTERN MAY BE IN THE MAKING...OR WE JUST MAY GET AN OFFSHORE LOW AS REX BLOCKING IS BEING HINTED AT BY THE MODEL "MEANS" THIS MORNING. IF A WEAK LOW HAPPENS TO GET OFF SHORE WE MIGHT GET LUCKY AND GET SOME LIGHT SNOW OUT OF IT AT MONTHS END.

THE LONGER RANGE PATTERN ACCORDING TO THE 00Z GFS 23RD TUESDAY SHOWS THE AMPLIFACATION OF THE WEST COAST RIDGE AT ABOUT 130-135WEST DELIVERING BITTER COLD ARTIC AIR MAINLY TO THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF THE COUNTRY BY MONTHS END AND INTO THE FIRST WEEK OF FEB. THIS CONTINUES THE DRY PATTERN OVER THE FAR WEST WITH AN OFFSHORE FLOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

IN THE EVEN LONGER RANGE,(FEBRUARY 5TH TO THE 9TH) ED BERRY SUGGESTS THAT TROPICAL FORCING MAY MIGRATE TO 120WEST...IN WHICH CASE THE UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADES TO 150EAST...THOSE THAT HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING THIS BLOG KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS.....;-)

EL NADA UPDATE.....

[shirk]

Come to WB "Crusty Balls" storm, you know you want to.

[skimoore]

I'm amish.


But I do have a horse that can pull a carriage with the fortitude of ten good men with hardy beards.

Ok, ok, we can go by carriage, but you're not one of those rare Amish-Mormons that can't have beer either are you? (can Amish have beer? I have no idea, I guess it'd be ok as long as it's brewed in the old style...)

And what's with your beard fixation? Is it from your Oedipal complex?

[Buster Highmen]

Ok, ok, we can go by carriage...

Does your carriage return have a line feed?

[skimoore]

Does your carriage return have a line feed?

Wow, I had no idea what that meant so I had to Wiki it.

Props to the obscure reference?