Will Tahoe get this one?

**skier666** · 01-29-2007, 05:55 PM

Right on! The continued pattern! Kick Ass! Woot! Holy Sweetness!

**Cirquerider** · 01-29-2007, 05:58 PM

Originally Posted by LegoSkier

It just keeps getting better:

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE WESTERN CONUS BY
WEEK`S END. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE THEIR ASCENT INTO THE UPPER
FIFTIES/LOW SIXTIES...LOW FIFTIES FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IT`S GOING
TO FEEL MORE LIKE SPRING THAN JANUARY! SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WE WILL
SEE SOME MID AND UPPER MOISTURE SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE. THIS COULD
MODERATE OUR TEMPERATURES SOME...SO DECIDED TO STAY BELOW MEX
GUIDANCE FOR NOW. LEFT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP ON SATURDAY FOR
THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA...ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE ACTION WILL
BE FAR TO THE NORTH...IN THE PAC NW. STILL VERY HARD TO SAY WHEN AND
IF THIS RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN.

I blame Freshies

**ptavv** · 01-29-2007, 05:58 PM

IM SO GLAD THIS WEATHER PATTERN ISNT CHANGING

OH GOD YES I AM

**skier666** · 01-29-2007, 06:01 PM

Originally Posted by ptavv

IM SO GLAD THIS WEATHER PATTERN ISNT CHANGING

OH GOD YES I AM

I know right? You should have skied Eagle Bowl at KW this past Saturday...it would have BLOWN YOUR MIND!

**ridefree** · 01-29-2007, 06:02 PM

I did. and yes my mind is flopping in the breeze now.

**skier666** · 01-29-2007, 06:03 PM

Wasn't it beyond killer??? The boilerplate anti-suncupped madness was super fun and rad.

**Huckwheat** · 01-29-2007, 06:05 PM

I definately underestimated the temperature at 9k. It was 50 and sunny at my house, so I left with thick tights, 3 upper layers, normal mtn biking gloves, and decided on thick hiking socks (but no booties

).

At the top the clouds had come in, and it was cold. Hands and Feet were totally numb. The decent would have really hurt!

**The Dad** · 01-29-2007, 09:35 PM

Originally Posted by onehotchili

i dunno what this past weekend was except boring for the kids.

Boring? I seem to recall coming up on you guys after a runaway snowboard took out one of your charges and snapped her binding. Not so much boring.

**jahoney** · 01-30-2007, 02:25 AM

yeah got back from tahoe last night

they could definitely use some snow

**skimoore** · 01-30-2007, 11:27 AM

Originally Posted by jahoney

yeah got back from tahoe last night

they could definitely use some snow

Understatement of the year. And still, useless without pics.

**3snowboards** · 01-30-2007, 11:33 AM

Originally Posted by jahoney

yeah got back from tahoe last night

they could definitely use some snow

Great report. Thanks a ton.

**onehotchili** · 01-30-2007, 11:51 AM

Originally Posted by alpinedad

Boring? I seem to recall coming up on you guys after a runaway snowboard took out one of your charges and snapped her binding. Not so much boring.

true... that was pretty exciting. that snowboarder ticked me off... he had no business taking off his snowboard and trying to walk down that run that he should never have been on. and of course dropping his board while it was off.

**kidwoo** · 01-30-2007, 11:58 AM

Originally Posted by onehotchili

true... that was pretty exciting. that snowboarder ticked me off... he had no business taking off his snowboard and trying to walk down that run that he should never have been on. and of course dropping his board while it was off.

Lame.

Hopefully all shins are in tact.

Glimmer of hope in the 8-14 day outlook. "above normal" precip for norcal.........but also above normal temps......

8 to 14 day Outlook Table
OUTLOOK FOR FEB 06 - 12, 2007

STATE TEMP PCPN
NRN CALIF A A

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ay/fxus06.html

**squawski** · 01-30-2007, 12:08 PM

"If you are looking to get off the trail, the west face of KT is skiing pretty good right now. The snow pack is getting thinner by the day and there is now rock popping up all over the hill. The groomers are doing a good job of covering most of them up, at lest on the high traffic areas but the bottom line is that it is just getting thin. Squaw Valley ski patrol is seeing a disproportionate number of calls for the number of skiers on the hill. This is largely due to the fact that it’s icy and variable out there so ski safe. The skies have been slowly filling with clouds but its not looking like they are going to be dropping any snow on us." from our Squaw valley daily report.

Originally Posted by skimoore

Understatement of the year. And still, useless without pics.

We've got daily photo's here: Flicker page
and weather charts here

Hope this helps...I'd write more but don't want to spam. -John

**Tyrone Shoelaces** · 01-30-2007, 12:10 PM

Originally Posted by squawski

"If you are looking to get off the trail, the west face of KT is skiing pretty good right now. The snow pack is getting thinner by the day and there is now rock popping up all over the hill. The groomers are doing a good job of covering most of them up, at lest on the high traffic areas but the bottom line is that it is just getting thin. Squaw Valley ski patrol is seeing a disproportionate number of calls for the number of skiers on the hill. This is largely due to the fact that it’s icy and variable out there so ski safe. The skies have been slowly filling with clouds but its not looking like they are going to be dropping any snow on us." from our Squaw valley daily report.

We've got daily photo's here: Flicker page
and weather charts here

Hope this helps...I'd write more but don't want to spam. -John

any word on the upcoming IFSA comp? still on? I'm assuming the worst but.......

**Schralps McGnar** · 01-30-2007, 12:15 PM

There seems to be a split amongst peeps...some feel that if it does not snow between now and then, it will be cancelled. I however feel that it will still be a go. Could they really refund everyone's money? Sounds like a stretch to me...personally I am looking forward to pointing the box chute from the top over boilerplate and into a bumpy, stumpy, brushy runout!

**woodsskier** · 01-30-2007, 12:21 PM

Les Arc was just cancelled....under terms that "Organizers and some local athletes skied the venues this morning only to see that most venues could barely accommodate skiing at all."...unfortunately the scinerio is similar at Squaw...

**gg8983** · 01-30-2007, 01:06 PM

Maybe some light at the end of the tunnel??!?!

**Agent 00X** · 01-30-2007, 01:18 PM

On Sunday, 1-28-07, a volcano erupted in eastern California depositing 4" of fluffy ash.

**Jim S** · 01-30-2007, 01:26 PM

Originally Posted by gg8983

Maybe some light at the end of the tunnel??!?!

With these temps it'll be rain to wash away what little we've got. Here's a special mag-only sneak preview of my next Tahoe TR:

kb1dqh · 01-30-2007, 01:29 PM

Last weekend was sick at Squaw! Waist deep down to the Fingers, which were filled in nicely. No traverse cutting through the landing area. Take off... feel the speed... landed softly as if I never left the air, heard the hollers from the chair lift. Repeat. Solid.

Oh wait... that was last night dream...

**skiski** · 01-30-2007, 01:35 PM

Originally Posted by gg8983

Maybe some light at the end of the tunnel??!?!

No, it's going to get blocked by a dick named Rex, whole will push it up to canada, then bring it back home to the great plains in a week.

**P_McPoser** · 01-30-2007, 03:30 PM

Originally Posted by freshies

buck up little campers, the Dweeb has a glimmer of hope:

THE LONGER RANGE:

A SHIFT IN THE POLAR JET SIMULAR TO THAT OF EARLY DECEMBER IS FORECASTED BY FEBRUARY 1ST. THERE ARE CURRENTLY SOME VERY DYNAMIC WEATHER SYSTEMS NOW FORECASTED TO MOVE THROUGH SIBERIA AND NORTHERN CHINA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE WAVES MAY FEED (DRAW) UPON SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM A RICH AREA NORTH OF THE EQUATOR NEAR INDONESIA AT 120E. AS THESE SYSTEMS CROSS THE MID LATTITUDES THEY MAY TAP THIS RICH MOISTURE SOURCE, FEEDING IT INTO THEIR SYSTEM WHILE MOVING WESTWARD.

IN THAT THERE HAS BEEN STRONG INDICATIONS IN THE ENSEMBLES WITH BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS MODLES FOR RETROGRESSION OF THE LONG WAVE UPPER HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW, DURING THE FIRST CALENDER WEEK OF FEBRUARY...IT SEEMS PLAUSIBLE THAT WE MAY GET A WET STORM BETWEEN THE 3RD OF FEBRUARY AND THE 6TH.......MORE LATER

DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS...................:-)

Right about the time I move to Colorado. You're welcome.

**freshies** · 01-30-2007, 08:14 PM

Originally Posted by Cirquerider

I blame Freshies

It's never going to snow again...EVAR! When I read this Dweeb today, I cried a little tear (really, I did...)

ONLY HOPE BETWEEN NOW AND SPRING WOULD BE FOR A STRONG MJO TO PRESS EASTWARD, OUT OF THE INDIAN OCEAN....RETROGRADING THE UPPER RIDGE AND BRINGING A SHORT TERM SOLUTION TO OVERALL DRY PATTERN. THE POSITIVE PHASE ENSO IS PROBABLY WEAK ENOUGH NOW TO SUPPORT A STRONG MJO IN CENTRAL PACIFIC. BY SPRING, WARMING HIGHER LATTS WILL MOST LIKELY BREAK UP THE HUDSON BAY ANCHOR AND WEAKEN WEST COAST RIDGE FOR BENIFICAL PRECIP, ESPECIALLY IF THE RATE OF THE DECAY OF THE POSITIVE PHASE ENSO CONTINUES.

FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS....IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY COLD EAST OF THE ROCKIES.... AND MILD OUT WEST......THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF WEST COAST RIDGE LATER NEXT WEEK AS AN EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE HUDSON BAY LOW CREATES SOME OPENING OF THE WAVE LENGTH AND ALLOWS ((((THE CHANCE-NOT CERTAIN)))) FOR SOME WARM ADVECTION TYPE SNOWFALL IN THE HIGH COUNTRY ABOUT THE 8TH THROUGH THE 12TH. I WILL SAY, THAT WELL OUT IN THE PACIFIC, THERE ARE SEVERAL "LARGE STORMS" CONNECTED WITH GOOD SUBTROPICAL TAPS. SO IF THE UPPER WEST COAST RIDGE DOES WEAKEN ENOUGH, THERE IS A LOT OF MOISTURE THAT CAN MOVE ON IN. THIS COULD BRING SIGNIFACANT SNOWFALL IF IT OCCURS......HOWEVER, IT WOULD NOT REFLECT A CHANGE IN THE OVERALL DROUGHT PATTERN. AS IN MY OPINION, THE UNDER PINNING FORCING FOR THE CURRENT PATTERN IS GLOBAL AND NOT SYNOPTIC