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Thread: Is the stock market going to tank?

  1. #4726
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Central OR
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    5,968
    Quote Originally Posted by El Chupacabra View Post
    Let's hope nobody tells Drumpf that the president has un-turn-offable emergency alert messaging to directly communicate with all cell phones.

    https://www.fcc.gov/consumers/guides...ncy-alerts-wea
    Good lord...

  2. #4727
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    Loveland, Chair 9.
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    5,042
    Quote Originally Posted by mcsquared View Post
    I can only imagine how feverishly people are building algorithms which try to decipher his tweets and then make High frequency trades based on them.
    idiots.

    all you have to do is look at historical charts, mkt generally takes off late oct or in nov for the seasonally strong period and that's exactly what they did after the mkts decided the world wasn't going to end under trump on nov. 8th.
    TGR forums cannot handle SkiCougar !

  3. #4728
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    20,181
    Trends getting stretched pretty hard tonight. OPEC news.

    Ripe for a reversal.

  4. #4729
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    8,697
    All that cash has to go somewhere. I think it's getting dusted off and put to work. In other tweets; Donald is at it again...

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/0ff0ef6...-tweet%3A.html
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  5. #4730
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    New Haven Line heading north
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    2,957
    Another day of pain for our friend B. Ackman.
    Charlie, here comes the deuce. And when you speak of me, speak well.

  6. #4731
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    20,181
    I'm 15% BOND and 15% TAGAX as if today. Been adding those for a week. Sold all my emerging at a small loss.

  7. #4732
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
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    below the Broads Fork Twins
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    Ackman reminds me of DF Wallace:

    "Worship your intellect, being seen as smart - you will end up feeling stupid, a fraud, always on the verge of being found out."

  8. #4733
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
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    MA
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    And there we have it. Usd/eur under 105. Watch for Japan launching another round of QE shortly.
    Decisions Decisions

  9. #4734
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    20,181
    Nikkei higher tonight. Expiration will be interesting.

  10. #4735
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    Mar 2006
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    20,181
    Treasury Bond futures are dead tonight after all that. Five tick range. I'm not sure what to make of it. Junk bonds continue to do well. Maybe the spread between junk and treasury is going to narrow.

    Liquidity in treasury could become a big problem.

  11. #4736
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    Aug 2012
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    Tbills look like they're ditributing for a bear rally but they keep fading down.

  12. #4737
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
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    Looking down
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    Quote Originally Posted by mcsquared View Post
    If I had Buffet or Gates levels of fuck you money I would buy Twitter just so I could ban Twitter
    fify

  13. #4738
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Denver, CO
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    1,620
    Quote Originally Posted by Benny Profane View Post
    fify
    Go fuck yourself.

  14. #4739
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    2 hours from anything
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    11,076
    Looking to protect my parents from diesel fuel price increases. They are full time rvers and diesel is one of their biggest expenses.

    Thinking about the etf UHN or something similar but not sure that is a good call given the inherent losses when prices stay flat. Vanguard energy fund? Something else?

  15. #4740
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    20,181
    Quote Originally Posted by neufox47 View Post
    Looking to protect my parents from diesel fuel price increases. They are full time rvers and diesel is one of their biggest expenses.

    Thinking about the etf UHN or something similar but not sure that is a good call given the inherent losses when prices stay flat. Vanguard energy fund? Something else?
    Heating oil futures.



    https://www.theice.com/products/201/Heating-Oil-Futures

  16. #4741
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    Jan 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    1000 barrels is the minimum, no? Little more than I was planning on putting in their diesel fund.

  17. #4742
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
    Posts
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    Buy from the local oil guy early in the season at the flat rate. Where are they located?
    Unless bromonatana wants to split a contract w you of course
    Decisions Decisions

  18. #4743
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    Jan 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Buy from the local oil guy early in the season at the flat rate. Where are they located?
    Unless bromonatana wants to split a contract w you of course
    Not heating oil, truck diesel. They have no base and travel the country living out of their RV. Current spend is about $1k a month on fuel. They could absorb diesel doubling but after that their fixed monthly income couldnt cover it and they would have to tap into savings. Looking to have a year or so of fuel cost invested in something that would mirror diesel prices. That way if they have to tap into their "diesel fund" it will be able to buy roughly the same number of gallons in the future as today.

  19. #4744
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    20,181

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/ener...fications.html

    The emini heating oil contract is 21k gallons. About five years supply for your parents. I don't know how liquid the contract is but you could set aside the full value of the contract with the margin amount in a five year note. That would be the cheapest way to fix a price. $2k initial and $1k maintenance.

    The only difference between heating oil and diesel is red dye.

  20. #4745
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
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    below the Broads Fork Twins
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    Just make sure they don't have to take physical delivery, that could get weird fast.

    Either buy contract for target date (paying premium to spot) or roll contracts per the schedule. Never hold contract through expiration.

  21. #4746
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    20,181
    Nikkei or Dow industrial. The race to 20k.

  22. #4747
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
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    Looking down
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    50,490
    Wow. Goldman up 33% on the Trump bump. They're going to do some fine partying downtown this holiday season. All the best escorts are booked, I'll bet.

  23. #4748
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
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    Merry merry! Lot of reading over the last few weeks, a lot of good material.
    Decisions Decisions

  24. #4749
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
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    7,113
    I like larger bios/pharma. What do you want to know about (bio specific?) or just in general
    Decisions Decisions

  25. #4750
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Location
    Golden
    Posts
    3,377
    Anyone doing any marijuana stocks or other investing?

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