Colorado Weather Discussion Thread

**MJbumper1121** · 12-07-2011, 07:32 PM

^^^ Awesome pics!

Hiking horseshoe/contest bowl sounds like fun.

**gratzo** · 12-08-2011, 10:59 AM

Folks! I'm throwing a party in Boulder with FREE beer (yes, FREE). A season kick-off party if you will, sponsored by OpenSnow and also Ecogroomer.com. It's at Boulder Beer next Tuesday, Dec 13th from 630-830pm. We're asking for a $5+ donation to SOS Outreach charity, which gets you free beer and some apps while they last (it should last for at least an hour...the tab is pretty big:-).

Details here: https://www.facebook.com/events/135979503179061/

Would love to actually meet some of you front rangers in person!

JOEL

**mfkracing** · 12-08-2011, 12:08 PM

So the combination of being unemployed, no snow, and now free beer is not helping my growing drinking problem.

**bamboocoreONLY** · 12-08-2011, 06:17 PM

4 inches fell at the summit parking lot up on berthoud. ski'd great!

**Neezer** · 12-08-2011, 06:21 PM

breck skied pretty good this am. probably about 2 inches when I got there this morning, and snowed another 2 or 3 by noon when I left.

**gratzo** · 12-08-2011, 07:58 PM

Ah, the storm that was. Most models got the trajectory right (no snow south and west of Breck), but the amounts...that's amazing to get 4-5 inches out of this when it looked like the moisture would only produce an inch or two. Well, would always rather forecast low...but I still hate surprises either way.

**BDKeg** · 12-09-2011, 08:52 AM

hey joel, i know it's still pretty early to tell, but what do you think about the latest GFS model run? Think we see a decent amount of snow around irwin/CB next week?

**montanaskier** · 12-09-2011, 08:55 AM

Thurs/Friday next week look ok right now but it's a ways out. After that it looks like this shit pattern continues.

**BDKeg** · 12-09-2011, 09:08 AM

Originally Posted by montanaskier

Thurs/Friday next week look ok right now but it's a ways out. After that it looks like this shit pattern continues.

after thurs/friday it looks like the pattern is starting to change, frequent shots of moisture coming out of the PNW, but it's still a long ways off so who knows

**dipstik** · 12-09-2011, 09:28 AM

Weekend weather update with the legend himself!

**gratzo** · 12-09-2011, 05:53 PM

@BDKeg - I'm pretty impressed with with the trend of the latest models for snow around Irwin/CB on Wednesday.

**donkeykong** · 12-09-2011, 11:23 PM

So without any changes in the pattern or new snow, what's the best bet for next weekend, other than Wolf Creek? Vail is showing lots of groomers open at least. But crowds, prices??

**Shredhead** · 12-10-2011, 08:16 AM

Aspen/Highland's, bowl opens today!

**gratzo** · 12-10-2011, 10:55 AM

@donkeykong - there will be lots of changes to the snow by next week. Also, here's how the west's snowpack is doing compared to average: http://opensnow.com/blog/2011/12/snow-status-update/

**montanaskier** · 12-10-2011, 11:35 AM

the issue isn't how much snow we've received so far, it's that we got it all so early and it hasn't snowed since. All that is on the ground is a rotten facet factory. Folks need to be careful when it does start because powder fever + a thin, rotten, snowpack + new heavy load = bad news. Stay alert and keep snow dancing.

This 2 week outlook doesn't look good:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...14prcp.new.gif

**BDKeg** · 12-10-2011, 02:30 PM

noaa updated their winter outlook for December/January and February

**montanaskier** · 12-10-2011, 02:32 PM

that's a typical La Nina map...hopefully it picks up soon.

**donkeykong** · 12-10-2011, 04:52 PM

Originally Posted by gratzo

@donkeykong - there will be lots of changes to the snow by next week. Also, here's how the west's snowpack is doing compared to average: http://opensnow.com/blog/2011/12/snow-status-update/

Thanks, but as it stands, and you have a trip planned next week, what would you do?

**funkendrenchman** · 12-10-2011, 04:56 PM

Originally Posted by montanaskier

t

This 2 week outlook doesn't look good:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...14prcp.new.gif

Haha what do you mean... that's as good as it has looked for 3 weeks.

**funkendrenchman** · 12-10-2011, 04:59 PM

Originally Posted by Shredhead

Aspen/Highland's, bowl opens today!

Bowl was good but thin.... everything else is crazy thin.

**montanaskier** · 12-10-2011, 05:06 PM

Originally Posted by funkendrenchman

Haha what do you mean... that's as good as it has looked for 3 weeks.

I must have posted that before it updated, because the one I posted and commented on showed WELL below average. That does look alot better!

**Shredhead** · 12-10-2011, 05:35 PM

Originally Posted by funkendrenchman

Bowl was good but thin.... everything else is crazy thin.

Yeah, I was 1chair. 1lap in g3, 4 Soddbusters and a bunch of Robinsons. Still way better than anything along the front range!

Aspen in the am?

**Rontele** · 12-10-2011, 05:43 PM

Weekend CPC 6-10 and 8-14s are issued without forecaster input.

They may show something, but I'd wait until Monday to start getting excited.

**BDKeg** · 12-11-2011, 12:44 AM

looks like on the GFS both shots of moisture coming in from the southwest next week...

**montanaskier** · 12-11-2011, 08:53 AM

forecast this morning now looks like next weekends storm will dig south again and could be another front range snowmaker. The hits just keep on coming.