Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey

[Adolf Allerbush]

I think their strategy is that "thoughts and prayers" are going to help. That's seems to be the usual go-to.

Well of course, that always helps. Just look at school shootings...all of our thoughts and prayers have been answered finally with COVID-19 arriving to quell school shootings.

[old goat]

Given the emerging evidence of prolonged disability among Covid 19 survivors we should probably stop focusing on deaths as the only number by which we judge this disease.

[Adolf Allerbush]

Given the emerging evidence of prolonged disability among Covid 19 survivors we should probably stop focusing on deaths as the only number by which we judge this disease.

That's partially the critique 538 has of the UW model.

[dunfree]

That's partially the critique 538 has of the UW model.

did they hire an epidemiologist now?

[altasnob]

More criticism of the UW model from epidemiologist like Harvard's Marc Lipsitch:

https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/17/...s-critics-say/

https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2...dicting-course

[huckbucket]

Dumping potatoe

[jono]

Dumping potatoe

Damn sarcasm detector's been getting abused lately...are you suggesting we start spelling "potatoes" without an e?

[huckbucket]

Skip to 5min in.

[huckbucket]

Damn sarcasm detector's been getting abused lately...are you suggesting we start spelling "potatoes" without an e?

Nah ... I just love the Quayle relevance to anything potatoe

[Adolf Allerbush]

did they hire an epidemiologist now?

I don't think so...they were just talking about his modeling assumptions.

[hutash]

Depends on where they tested.

Attachment 326230

Based on 21.2% in NYC testing positive, this implies 1.78 million people are/were infected! The data has yet to be provided though.

Also still puts the CFR between 0.5% and 1%

Which is why I suspect Sweden's report is tripe.

[dunfree]

I don't think so...they were just talking about his modeling assumptions.

oh. Because a month and a half ago Nate said he wasn’t going to touch c19 shit b3cause he didn’t know enough.

[Adolf Allerbush]

oh. Because a month and a half ago Nate said he wasn’t going to touch c19 shit b3cause he didn’t know enough.

Yeah, I remember that. I think he is pretty skilled at building statistical models though, so that's where this discussion was going. anyhow, take a gander if you're interested. they give the UW guy props and say it's a bold move to predict when states can open, number of deaths, that sort of thing...but they questioned the accuracy of the model...that said, the dude at UW was saying it's an evolving model that's updated as they get more information.

[skaredshtles]

Dumping potatoe

Man... I could make a LOT of gnocchi with them 'taters.

[Rideski]

Dumping potatoe

So sad. How can there not be demand for potatoes? Basic food staple. The government can’t figure out how to pick them up and take them to shelters? Spend billions on bombs but not a few grand on feeding starving people. Humans are doomed.


Lol shitless and I both put the ixnay on uailqae

[iceman]

hearing more about Roche's Actemra as a treatment for advanced cases, obviously this is anecdotal but it does make sense on the surface at least: https://www.washingtonpost.com/local...911_story.html

[SkiCougar]

^^ not promising for Georgia, Tennessee, et al

I don't know, I believe Arkansas had many businesses open and no reports people are dropping like flies.

will be interesting on the numbers for areas with a lot of people traveling there and in close contact, like NYC; over places like little rock where probably not too many traveled to and the automobile is probably the travel choice by 95% percent.

[Oldstyle]

Perhaps this info will be helpful for those with loved ones in different states. Cases and deaths

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...tbreak-us.html

[old goat]

hearing more about Roche's Actemra as a treatment for advanced cases, obviously this is anecdotal but it does make sense on the surface at least: https://www.washingtonpost.com/local...911_story.html

Interesting--it's an antiinflammatory/immune suppressant used for some of the same conditions as hydroxychloroquine. Blocks one of the cytokines of "cytokine storm" fame.

[liv2ski]

Which is why I suspect Sweden's report is tripe.

I keep wondering about Sweden's experiment. I am still convinced they are hoping all the brown people let in from the M.E. die from it.

[Viva]

Skip to 5min in.

This is a nice summary on how this virus operates, and it would behoove those of you seeking clarification on some of the issues raised here to watch the whole thing. Of course, I fully expect that some of you after watching will continue posturing and acting like bitches.

Farzan ought to stay out of politics when talking science.

Hey! Scripps changed its name- when I was there it was The Scripps Research Institute. The logo's different, too. I like the old organic molecule better.

[The AD]

I don't know, I believe Arkansas had many businesses open and no reports people are dropping like flies.

will be interesting on the numbers for areas with a lot of people traveling there and in close contact, like NYC; over places like little rock where probably not too many traveled to and the automobile is probably the travel choice by 95% percent.

Lincoln County, Arkansas is currently the nation's #1 hot spot.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...es.html#states

[skaredshtles]

Lincoln County, Arkansas is currently the nation's #1 hot spot.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...es.html#states

Mainly because it doesn't fit my narrative.

[dunfree]

So sad. How can there not be demand for potatoes? Basic food staple. The government can’t figure out how to pick them up and take them to shelters? Spend billions on bombs but not a few grand on feeding starving people. Humans are doomed.


Lol shitless and I both put the ixnay on uailqae

its rarely a problem with demand or production, it’s the inability of the supply chain to connect the two.

[huckbucket]

This is a nice summary on how this virus operates, and it would behoove those of you seeking clarification on some of the issues raised here to watch the whole thing. Of course, I fully expect that some of you after watching will continue posturing and acting like bitches.

Farzan ought to stay out of politics when talking science.

Hey! Scripps changed its name- when I was there it was The Scripps Research Institute. The logo's different, too. I like the old organic molecule better.

This is Scripts FL btw. I've seen their massive automated drug sensitivity testing lab in action and it rivals even large pharma. V impressive.