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Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey

  1. #14576
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    Quote Originally Posted by Core Shot View Post
    well, the math result is correct if you ignore the typo

    0.13% is higher than the others

    and the others are in-line so far
    What does 0.13% mean Einstein?

  2. #14577
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    Quote Originally Posted by glademaster View Post
    No, because the conclusion you're trying to draw is complete bullshit, utterly meaningless and you know it.

    One more time for the morons.

  3. #14578
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    Quote Originally Posted by huckbucket View Post
    What does 0.13% mean Einstein?
    It means full steam ahead for the Trump and 2A Rally! Wooot!!!!!
    Kill all the telemarkers
    But they’ll put us in jail if we kill all the telemarkers
    Telemarketers! Kill the telemarketers!
    Oh we can do that. We don’t even need a reason

  4. #14579
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jax View Post
    Speaking of mosquitos, hiked the road behind my house a few days ago (I live near Buff Pass). It's shady and cold due to aspect, not enough snow to ski down anymore so brought the snowshoes to mitigate the posthole fest once it got to around 8500ft. Stopped for a few minutes for a snack in a nice snowy meadow, temps were hovering in the 40s. Within minutes I was swarmed by mosquitos, thousands of them. They looked desperate, like they haven't seen human flesh in forever, which is probably true. Surprised to see them this early, though we did have some high temps the week before. I ran. I think the bugs are gonna be in full force with less people/pets to pester/feed on this summer.
    I'm consistently amazed by the amount of mosquitos in/ around Steamboat in the summer.

  5. #14580
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rideski View Post
    Did anyone get one of the ccp texts? I didn’t.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/22/u...formation.html
    On top of all this now we have to deal with "Wolf Warrior diplomacy" on the part of the party. Info wars and digital viruses are the next front line.

  6. #14581
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    Quote Originally Posted by nordekette View Post
    this one is shocking
    new york city

    10657 : 83000000 = 0,0012839759

    edit: please correct me if those number dont line up..... population to deathrate
    maybe one too many zeros in the population number?

  7. #14582
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    Bugs love me. I got sweet, sweet blood. One spring I was out in the driveway shooting hoops with thing #3 and noticed a few bites. I had to go in for something and my son screamed "Dad, come back, the bugs are awful!". I hadn't really noticed the swarm, and they prefer me over everyone else. My son didn't want me to shoot hoops, he wanted bug protection.

  8. #14583
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    Quote Originally Posted by altasnob View Post
    Snohomish County Sheriff watched Inslee's press conference yesterday and decided Inslee's plan wasn't much of a plan so he decided he would no longer be enforcing the stay at home order. And unlike right-wing Franklin County, Snohomish County votes democrat and has the third highest per-capita income, and third highest population, of any county in the State.
    Wow. Still I can see how some politicians feel helpless and desperate to help their constituents and they can't bare to see people suffering. They just want to make it all go away and have things the way they were.

    That said, Curt Didier is still an idiot.
    When you see something that is not right, not just, not fair, you have a moral obligation to say something. To do something." Rep. John Lewis


    Kindness is a bridge between all people

    Dunkin’ Donuts Worker Dances With Customer Who Has Autism

  9. #14584
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    Quote Originally Posted by KQ View Post
    Wow. Still I can see how some politicians feel helpless and desperate to help their constituents and they can't bare to see people suffering. They just want to make it all go away and have things the way they were.

    That said, Curt Didier is still an idiot.
    I find it refreshingly re-enforcing of my opinion of law enforcement officials who think they are more well informed on a population health issue than the governor and the experts he is consulting

    yes sir ee

  10. #14585
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    Speaking of idiots, someone has made the decision to re-open National Parks. You know, the places where 95% of visitors stay within a mile or so of trailheads and amenities. I'm sure social distancing won't be an issue.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/us...cid=spartandhp

  11. #14586
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kevo View Post
    I'm consistently amazed by the amount of mosquitos in/ around Steamboat in the summer.
    You ever backpacked in the Flat Tops?


  12. #14587
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    Quote Originally Posted by nordekette View Post
    please correct me if those number dont line up..... population to deathrate
    As others have shown the numbers don't add up but rather than ratios, a rough lower bound for potential U.S. deaths as of 4/21 might be possible by extrapolating from NYC. Divide NYC deaths by the NYC population multiplied by the U.S. population: (1.4e4 / 8.4e6 ) * 3.3e8 = 550,000. That's a lower bound of 550K if the U.S. population becomes proportionate with NYC yesterday.

  13. #14588
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    Quote Originally Posted by altasnob View Post
    Snohomish County Sheriff watched Inslee's press conference yesterday and decided Inslee's plan wasn't much of a plan so he decided he would no longer be enforcing the stay at home order. And unlike right-wing Franklin County, Snohomish County votes democrat and has the third highest per-capita income, and third highest population, of any county in the State.

    Yup when the governors are dumbfucks local govts have to take the response into their own hands....Sounds vaguely familiar doesn't it?

  14. #14589
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    Quote Originally Posted by KQ View Post
    Wow. Still I can see how some politicians feel helpless and desperate to help their constituents and they can't bare to see people suffering. They just want to make it all go away and have things the way they were.
    I'm also able to empathize with the conservative mindset that doesn't EVER want anything to change. It's apparently *extremely* hard for some to come to grips with the fact that things are NOT going to be the same. Perhaps ever. And just simply pretending that things have not changed will result in more people dying needlessly AND the economy tanking even worse than it has.

    <shrug> What are ya gonna do, right?

  15. #14590
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    Quote Originally Posted by DBdude View Post
    maybe one too many zeros in the population number?
    ok corrected it...
    10657 : 8300000 = 0,0012839759

    but still


    San Marino = 0.00117

    Singapore = 0.00000213

    NYC = 0.0012839759

    Landeck = 0.00031558541

    Sweden = 0.00018754841

    USA = 0.00013719512

    Tirol = 0.00012455198

    Switzerland = 0.00017337209

    these are just numbers.
    in general I leave the thinking for the horses, they got a bigger head

  16. #14591
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    Quote Originally Posted by bodywhomper View Post
    I thought that there is still cocaine in some cough syrup... yes/no

    Bloodletting is now called “therapeutic phlebotomy.”
    Codeine, not cocaine. Yes, you can still get cough medicine with codeine in it, but only by prescription.
    Therapeutic phlebotomy is a rarely done procedure, done mainly for polycythemia rubra vera, a cancer-like condition where the bone marrow makes so many red blood cells that they clog the arteries. A totally different concept than the blood-letting for all manners of disease done in the past. The difference between a scientifically based procedure and one based on superstition, "intuition", and faith--a distinction well worth keeping in mind today.

  17. #14592
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    Quote Originally Posted by nordekette View Post
    ok corrected it...
    10657 : 8300000 = 0,0012839759

    but still


    San Marino = 0.00117

    Singapore = 0.00000213

    NYC = 0.0012839759

    Landeck = 0.00031558541

    Sweden = 0.00018754841

    USA = 0.00013719512

    Tirol = 0.00012455198

    Switzerland = 0.00017337209

    these are just numbers.
    in general I leave the thinking for the horses, they got a bigger head

    Why don't you tell me why the graph below matters?

    Click image for larger version. 

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  18. #14593
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    Quote Originally Posted by muted View Post
    CDC is estimating 40 million flu cases this season so far which peaked in February. So tens of millions had it Jan-Feb., and the B version being particularly nasty this time. How many people do you think had COVID in January and February in the states out of tens of millions?
    B version of what? I have no guess on the other, whats the point of guessing?
    Hello darkness my old friend

  19. #14594
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    Switzerland, a country with an advanced health care system, just did a seroprevalence survey for hard hit Geneva on April 17 and their ratio of unconfirmed-to-confirmed was only 6:1, with 94.5% uninfected, 5.5% infected, and a death rate ten times higher than the flu.


    https://translate.google.com/transla...on&prev=search

  20. #14595
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    Quote Originally Posted by huckbucket View Post
    Why don't you tell me why the graph below matters?

    Click image for larger version. 

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ID:	326117
    because i dont know who got tested and when?
    like test was done 10 days after symptoms.
    test was done after contact with a sick person.
    test was done in hospital with person having breathing issues and pneumonia like symptoms

  21. #14596
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    Quote Originally Posted by skaredshtles View Post
    I'm also able to empathize with the conservative mindset that doesn't EVER want anything to change. It's apparently *extremely* hard for some to come to grips with the fact that things are NOT going to be the same. Perhaps ever. And just simply pretending that things have not changed will result in more people dying needlessly AND the economy tanking even worse than it has.

    <shrug> What are ya gonna do, right?
    Cower in Fear scratch that I mean shelter in place

  22. #14597
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    Quote Originally Posted by Viva View Post
    Ventilators help with the work of breathing. They don't do shit for gas exchange (i.e. oxygenation.). The problem with this virus is that it attacks the ability to take in oxygen at the level of the lungs. Ventilators don't do shit with respect to the delivery of more oxygen.

    Now entertain the following conjecture: When you hold your breath for more than a few seconds, that driving need to breath you feel is not because your oxygen is low, it's because your CO2 is high. That's why divers hyper-ventilate before they go for a lengthy dive. This drives their CO2 lower and allows them stay under water longer.

    Folks suffering from this chi-com virus present hypoxia, yet they don't have a problem unloading CO2 when they exhale (which is what kills people with COPD). What sucks is that current medical dogma dictate that such patients be "tubed" and put on a fucking ventilator in hopes that they will beat the virus and get off the vent. This works when the problem is ventilation, not oxygenation. Even when appropriate, the longer a patient is on the vent, for any reason, the harder it is to get off of it. Atrophy sucks and it happens pretty fucking quickly.
    Not quite true. Intubating someone allows higher concentrations of oxygen to reach the lungs than can be delivered by nasal cannula or mask, thus raising the O2 in the blood. Ventilator settings which maintain positive pressure in the airways (PEEP, CPAP) can expand collapsed alveoli and thereby increase oxygen in the blood.
    The proper respiratory management of COVID-19 patients is controversial, a work in progress, not the open and shut case you make it out to be.

  23. #14598
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    Switzerland Geneve Genf

    193 : 200000 = 0,000965

  24. #14599
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    Quote Originally Posted by skaredshtles View Post
    You ever backpacked in the Flat Tops?

    I've only ever gone trail running in the Flat Tops. Def got mobbed anytime I was standing still.

  25. #14600
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    An article about blood clotting being one of the major causes of morbidity and death in Covid 19. Very scary shit. Unfortunately, the virus appears to affect the blood clotting and inflammatory chemistry and the interaction between the two, the most poorly understood aspect of human physiology (after how the brain works) despite many decades of study. The article points out how little we know about this disease. It talks about people dying suddenly at home, in addition to the folks dying after weeks on the ventilator.
    It's not just the total number of people infected we don't know, it's also the total number of people dying of Covid 19 we don't know.
    So anyone (including me) who wants to pontificate about the incidence of infection or the mortality rate should probably STFU.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...s-blood-clots/

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