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Thread: Is the stock market going to tank?

  1. #18951
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    20,178
    /\Thank you Suze Orman

    IWM has good support at two hundred. Below there it’s anyone’s guess. Another twenty five percent lower maybe.

  2. #18952
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Golden BC
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    4,248
    One fun fact is the Tesla stock is down to 265 from a high of 475. If I had just not closed out my short position I could be heli skiing right now.
    Mrs. Dougw- "I can see how one of your relatives could have been killed by an angry mob."

    Quote Originally Posted by ill-advised strategy View Post
    dougW, you motherfucking dirty son of a bitch.

  3. #18953
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    Mar 2006
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    Vol collar pretty steady at 1-2% a day. Will take some volume to break through.

  4. #18954
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    Feb 2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by DougW View Post
    One fun fact is the Tesla stock is down to 265 from a high of 475. If I had just not closed out my short position I could be heli skiing right now.
    Doubled down on TSLA puts yday. Theres news that some charging stations in MA got torched. Oh well

    Bought VIX calls yday too.

    More than offsetting long losses

  5. #18955
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
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    9,115
    Quote Originally Posted by LeeLau View Post
    Trying to post pic of model port. Forum fail. Csv instead.

    Will screen for non-US as any US company now will have much less TAM and be subject to export controls

    CCJ
    EUAD
    DRSHF
    ONDS
    RDW
    SPAI
    SPIR
    UMAC
    RCAT
    ACHR
    CYBQF
    DPRO
    Thanks for fighting your way through to post that. Good starting point.
    <p dir="rtl">
    Make efficiency rational again</p>

  6. #18956
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    Vol collar pretty steady at 1-2% a day. Will take some volume to break through.

  7. #18957
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    Dec 2005
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    Man, I wish it would tank already, my vix is burning a hole in my pocket.

  8. #18958
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    Feb 2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by jono View Post
    Thanks for fighting your way through to post that. Good starting point.
    Found NATO SHLD as other defence etfs. But these have issues. NATO is too small.

    SHLD has too much US exposure

  9. #18959
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
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    Paper St. Soap Co.
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    DougW might not be too late, hopefully TSLA keeps dropping...read that if they don't hit sales numbers the payments they get from other auto companies might go away?

    Good call week ago from TBS on Euro defense stocks. LeeLau, when you say EUAD is too small, is that because only around 10 stocks in it?

  10. #18960
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    Mar 2006
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    20,178
    Quote Originally Posted by [emoji640
    [emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]]][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]];[emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji639]][emoji638][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]]][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji637]][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]]]] EUAD is too small, is that because only around [emoji637][emoji[emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]][emoji640][emoji6[emoji640][emoji638]]] stocks in it?
    Only ten million in aum. That’s very small.

  11. #18961
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    Quote Originally Posted by 406 View Post
    DougW might not be too late, hopefully TSLA keeps dropping...read that if they don't hit sales numbers the payments they get from other auto companies might go away?

    Good call week ago from TBS on Euro defense stocks. LeeLau, when you say EUAD is too small, is that because only around 10 stocks in it?
    A month ago it had a NAV of 4mn. This month the NAV is 68Mn. I prefer ETFs with options. At that size the CBOE likely won't be interested in quoting options on it.

    I do like their holdings though

  12. #18962
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    Mar 2006
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    Man, I wish it would tank already, my vix is burning a hole in my pocket.
    Option trade is so dominant will take monumental move to get VIX going. Everything is strangled by so many different expiry cycles

  13. #18963
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
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    570
    How much of a general correct will this be? Some of the bubbliest in TSLA and Novidia have already corrected down.

    10% before the Taxcut Meth rush hits?

  14. #18964
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    Dec 2016
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    In a van... down by the river
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Nuclear Option View Post
    How much of a general correct will this be? Some of the bubbliest in TSLA and Novidia have already corrected down. 10% before the Taxcut Meth rush hits?
    If we knew the answer to this, we would all be MILLIONAIRES.

  15. #18965
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    Dec 2016
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    2,717
    Heavy UVIX and TSLS have me grinning. LG baby

  16. #18966
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    NVDA and TSLA are real so caution is advised. If you're playing a general market correction then SPY puts are traditional.

    I've never been short tsla before cos Elon cult. When he threw the sieg Heil the logic of alienating leftist who are the natural buyers of the cars was compelling

  17. #18967
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    Dec 2005
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    Theres obviously been very little risk on, it’s been along time since we’ve seen a sell off that triggers margin calls etc. maybe Covid, but before, very little.

    I raised my target from Dow 24k, to 31.

  18. #18968
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
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    570
    I say the trigger will be a bitcoin collapse. Until then people can just take funny money and “ buy the dips”. Funny money dries up and THEN a major correction.

    IRA all in on SQQQ !!!

  19. #18969
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    Back in the day Rydax had some good 2X and 3X inverse funds I did for awhile. I am to lazy to pay attention anymore so you guys have fun with this.
    Never in U.S. history has the public chosen leadership this malevolent. The moral clarity of their decision is crystalline, particularly knowing how Trump will regard his slim margin as a “mandate” to do his worst. We’ve learned something about America that we didn’t know, or perhaps didn’t believe, and it’ll forever color our individual judgments of who and what we are.

  20. #18970
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    I’m a crypto skeptic.

    But BTC stomach that terrible sell off and went to new highs.

    I would never buy it, but I think it’s here to stay.

  21. #18971
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
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    What are you talking about? BTC is like $10k lower than is was two weeks ago, and is $20k off it&#39;s all time high of $108k.

  22. #18972
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
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    Where the sheets have no stains
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    He has brain worms. Fuck him. No one with any sense gives a fuck what drivel he posts anymore.
    I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.

    "Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"

  23. #18973
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    Nuclear Option wrote: &quot;Some of the bubbliest in TSLA and Novidia have already corrected down.&quot;
    I disagree re TSLA. While I do not have a position on either side of that trade, I think TSLA has been riding high on Elon&#39;s mysticism for 5 years and don&#39;t think it should be worth more than every other car company combined (maybe it&#39;s down from that valuation) or even more than plain old Toyota. Maybe robo taxis are the future, but Tesla hasn&#39;t convinced me that they&#39;re going to be the leader there in that arena.

  24. #18974
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    Doesnt tesla also include SpaceX and a host of other companies under the Tesla umbrella? Long term, i see SpaceX as big prize (monopoly on every country's satellites, communications, the whole damn internet, etc all largely financed and supported by fat government handouts).

  25. #18975
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
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    13,582
    Trump&rsquo;s 25% Tariffs On Canada, Mexico Take

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