man i just read the discussion.
i think i'm going to be skiing and not working the next few day here.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
830 PM PST THU FEB 22 2007
.SHORT TERM...
PRECIP SHIELD HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE SIERRA INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THIS AFTERNOON. UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITHIN THE CORE OF THE UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT. STILL EXPECT ANOTHER 2-5" OF SNOW IN
THE SIERRA ABOVE 7000 FEET IN HEAVY CONVECTIVE BANDS. THERE HAVE
BEEN SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN THE STRONGEST SHOWERS OVER THE
SAC... VALLEY...PROVING THAT ANY GIVEN LOCATION COULD PICK UP A QUICK
FEW INCHES AS THEY PASS THROUGH. SNOW RATIOS WILL REMAIN EXCELLENT
WITH THE COLD CONDITIONS. SINCE SNOW IS NOT WIDESPREAD AND MORE
SHOWERY HAVE ALLOWED THE SNOW ADVISORIES TO EXPIRE FOR SIERRA EXCEPT
MONO COUNTY WHERE PERSISTENT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE
EVENING. LEESIDE VALLEYS WILL SEE SOME SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT AND
LOCAL AREAS COULD PICK UP TO AN INCH BUT MOST LOCATIONS WONT SEE
MORE THAN A DUSTING. WINDS STILL GUSTING 80-100 MPH ON RIDGES BUT
WILL GRADUALLY COME DOWN AND BE GREATLY LOWER BY MID MORNING.
A BRIEF BREAK FROM FRIDAY NIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. THE NEXT WAVE APPROACHES THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A GOOD SHOT OF PRECIP FOR THE SIERRA NORTH
TO THE OREGON BORDER. THERE IS A STRONG JET DRIVING THIS NEXT SYSTEM
WITH DECENT SPILLOVER INTO THE SURPRISE VALLEY AND NORTHERN WASHOE
COUNTY. DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON A WATCH FOR THIS NEXT WAVE TO ALLOW
THE CURRENT SYSTEM TO EXIT...BUT IF THINGS DONT CHANGE WILL NEED
WINTER STATEMENTS FOR SAT NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE PATTERN REMAINS
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY SNOW IN THE SIERRA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
WITH GOOD SPILLOVER INTO WESTERN NV. MILNE
.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
RAISED POPS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AND TWEAKED POPS LIGHTLY
THEREAFTER. OTHERWISE...ONLY INSIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE GRIDS.
CONTINUED THE UP TREND IN POPS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH 00Z GFS
ENSEMBLE PROBABILITY OF PRECIP BETWEEN 65-95% FOR THE SIERRA AND
CHANCE POPS IN MOS GUIDANCE FOR RENO...WINNEMUCCA...AND ALTURAS. IT
LOOKS LIKE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF SEVERAL FEET ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
SIERRA...WITH POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN GREAT BASIN MONDAY AND/OR TUESDAY. HOWEVER...AS THE
ORIENTATION AND LENGTH OF TIME THAT COLD FRONTS STAY OVER ANY ONE
AREA OF THE GREAT BASIN GREATLY AFFECTS SNOWFALL TOTALS...
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IN THE GREAT BASIN IS VERY HARD TO PINPOINT
THIS FAR OUT. ONCE TODAY`S STORM WINDS DOWN...WE MAY CONSIDER
ANOTHER SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTING THE POSSIBILITY OF
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FOR THE SIERRA AND SOME LOWER VALLEYS OF THE
WESTERN GREAT BASIN. STAY TUNED!
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