Euro forecast oct-dec

[ulty_guy]

just cause this thing is actually quasi important to my work, i get some info and figured it'd be good to share. long term forecasting is generally crap and i don't expect anything less from this, but anywho....

oct

wet and warm across uk and northern europe
northern side of the alps could get some, but snow levels will be high, southern alps will get skunked
scandi looks average

nov

pretty much a carbon copy, maybe a bit more snow for the alps, but again this could be only northern parts

dec

very severe winter weather across much of scandi. cold with above precip. norway may be the place if you're looking to go around xmas/new years
alps look like crap, dry and warm (let's hope this changes)

[klar]

mh, i would be interested in who says this. guessing ecmwf or something? (they have a public longterm forecast on the website but i think only for the tropics)

[ulty_guy]

klar- it's wsi, supposedly one of the better private forecasters (whatever that's supposed to mean cause i don't put much faith into it). they're big into using sea surface temps.

met office uk says normal winter across western and central europe compared to the 30 year avg (which would seem cold, cause the last 10 have been so warm)

meteo france is warmer than normal for western and central europe as is world climate service

roo- good news for you, the vaujany tourist office has just released a forecast that calls for major dumpage across the french alps, but i think they might be biased.

[verbier61]

uh..... :-(

[Roo]

That forecast wasn't too far off the clock.

[Ripzalot]

ok, now what's the next 3 months going to be like?

[verbier61]

yes and not... did you already forget the big (and sweeeet) dump of december 9?

[TeleAl]

Figured this is a better place to post these pics
than in the other thread that is supposed to be about Snow.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/6275939.stm

It is a heck of a storm here.
Snowline is somewhere, and I am plan to be above it when this breaks.
I suggest everyone reading this do the same, and don't tell the rest (shhhh).

I remember back in 1999/2000, when we had a big blower come through,
rained, tore trees out of the ground in France, Suisse, and Germany, winds at 150km/h
and then left 4 feet of snow in town.
May this storm end the same way.


Now then, I have a kitchen to install.

[ulty_guy]

Blast from the past!

Anyways, currently 6 degrees and raining in le tour, poured yesterday and all night. Freezing level seemed to be around 2200m yesterday, hopefully it didn't go higher over nite.

As for the next few months, looks like more of the same, warm and wet. Until we can break this positive north atlantic oscillation cycle that brings the warm and wet weather off the atlantic, ain't much going to change. That said, a brief cold shot should come in before tuesdays storm and could really help, but the snowpack is gonna be screwed at lower elevations.

P.s. Good luck with the kitchen, you slum lord!