Check Out Our Shop
Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 1 2
Results 26 to 42 of 42

Thread: NOAA 2005-2006 Winter Outlook

  1. #26
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    1,702
    As we get closer to winter the predictions will be more accurate.

    We better have a good season up here in the pnw or they'll have to up my meds.... Or I will do it for them. Medical Marijuana that is.

  2. #27
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Posts
    2,936
    Quote Originally Posted by Raps
    I like the sound of nor-easters......looks like the east should get a good winter according to what they are sayin......i'm not gonna argue with that. It's been raining for like 10 days straight out here so hopefully by november and december it will be pukin snow.
    *sigh* Raps, so young and naive

    We only get so much precipitation a year. Since we've gotten so much now, we're in for a dry and bitterly cold winter.

  3. #28
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    PNWET
    Posts
    4,746
    Baker will get a new hourly record.
    http://www.tetongravity.com/forums/image.php?type=sigpic&userid=3982&dateline=1279375  363

  4. #29
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Location
    Before
    Posts
    28,763
    Quote Originally Posted by jonesy
    Baker will get a new hourly record.
    In snow, not water.
    Merde De Glace On the Freak When Ski
    >>>200 cm Black Bamboo Sidewalled DPS Lotus 120 : Best Skis Ever <<<

  5. #30
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    closer
    Posts
    6,123
    long range forecasts.

    btw. it is really really easy to forecast a slightly warm or a warm winter because in 80-90% of the cases you will be right thanks to global warming. goooood forecast.


    ot part:
    there are certain long term rules for europe. especially concerning october. but all these rules were made without climatic change and i don't know any concerning the US.
    what is interesting concerning europe is the complete breakdown of the circulation over the atlantic right now and in the next days/week. that might me interesting for europe if it tends to persist.
    It's a war of the mind and we're armed to the teeth.

  6. #31
    Join Date
    Jul 2002
    Location
    Suckramento
    Posts
    21,975
    Quote Originally Posted by subtle plague
    what is interesting concerning europe is the complete breakdown of the circulation over the atlantic right now and in the next days/week. that might me interesting for europe if it tends to persist.
    Blame the French.
    Quando paramucho mi amore de felice carathon.
    Mundo paparazzi mi amore cicce verdi parasol.
    Questo abrigado tantamucho que canite carousel.


  7. #32
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    Nascarlotte
    Posts
    2,651
    I would like to understand how accuweather conceives its snowfall estimates for all these cities.

  8. #33
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    In the parking lot
    Posts
    1,140
    Quote Originally Posted by extreeski
    As we get closer to winter the predictions will be more accurate.

    We better have a good season up here in the pnw or they'll have to up my meds.... Or I will do it for them. Medical Marijuana that is.

    Yep, by May the predictions for this winter will be 100% accurate! Remember, a "Normal" winter in the PNW is pretty damn good and a hell of a lot better than last season.
    The snow doesn't give a soft white damn whom it touches.
    ~ e.e. cummings

  9. #34
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Chicago
    Posts
    1,846
    Quote Originally Posted by mrryde
    I would like to understand how accuweather conceives its snowfall estimates for all these cities.
    The best way to do a long range forecast for winter is to look back in history at years with a similar pattern to what we are experiencing now, and try to draw as many parallels as you can.

    I like to look at similar cycles, for instance we are coming out of 3 weak El Nino years and right now the El Nino pattern is neutral...so looking back at history to see what happened in this situation is a great example. There are 5 similar cycles in the last 100 years so thats good guidance. I am working on a specific winter forecast for Utah and will get the results together soon. It's a time-consuming process...

    The early results are *very* different than what the maps posted in this thread from the Climate Prediction Center are coming up with.

    V-e-r-y different...

    (and yes, by May I'll have the winter forecast nailed.)

  10. #35
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    Nascarlotte
    Posts
    2,651
    Thats cool RB, I'm looking forward to it

  11. #36
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    Colorado Cartel HQ
    Posts
    15,931

    Thumbs up

    They just updated it!
    Looks good for the crew this year!


  12. #37
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    In the fields, under the yoke
    Posts
    3,342
    Quote Originally Posted by Red Baron
    V-e-r-y different...
    That was a quick edit.

  13. #38
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Chicago
    Posts
    1,846
    Quote Originally Posted by stump832
    That was a quick edit.
    I thought about what I said turning up in internet searches and decided it wasn't very professional....and didn't really need to be said...

  14. #39
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    In the fields, under the yoke
    Posts
    3,342
    What, you mean you have a public reputation to protect or something? You need a sweeter alias. When can we start signing up for your service?

  15. #40
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    SLC
    Posts
    1,349
    Quote Originally Posted by Red Baron
    The best way to do a long range forecast for winter is to look back in history at years with a similar pattern to what we are experiencing now, and try to draw as many parallels as you can.

    I like to look at similar cycles, for instance we are coming out of 3 weak El Nino years and right now the El Nino pattern is neutral...so looking back at history to see what happened in this situation is a great example. There are 5 similar cycles in the last 100 years so thats good guidance. I am working on a specific winter forecast for Utah and will get the results together soon. It's a time-consuming process...

    The early results are *very* different than what the maps posted in this thread from the Climate Prediction Center are coming up with.

    V-e-r-y different...

    (and yes, by May I'll have the winter forecast nailed.)
    RB, Do you take into consideration certain sacrifices to the snow gods when calculating this forcast?

  16. #41
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Chicago
    Posts
    1,846
    Quote Originally Posted by flabango
    RB, Do you take into consideration certain sacrifices to the snow gods when calculating this forcast?
    No, but did you see this?

  17. #42
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    SLC
    Posts
    1,349
    Quote Originally Posted by Red Baron
    No, but did you see this?
    Jeez... I thought it was going to be POV footage of you chasing [edit] hot inturn around the station in your birthday suit.

    Not bad for $70. I have an Archos420 that records a pretty decent picture, but it's pricey.
    Last edited by flabango; 10-12-2005 at 08:38 PM.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •