Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey

[Casey E]

So this is the link to the states stats I mentioned above, sorry
https://graphics.reuters.com/HEALTH-...S/dgkvlgkrkpb/

Oh, and I vote Ken

[Bunion 2020]

Milton?

[Adolf Allerbush]

Reportedly up to 80% of those infected may be asymptomatic while spreading this shit.

So not similar to the flu.

[Benny Profane]

Tough one. Yeah, Bubba is too regional. Maybe, Archie? (Bunker)

[bennymac]

Todd?

[AK47bp]

Darren? Karen and Darren.


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[KQ]

So this is the link to the states stats I mentioned above, sorry
https://graphics.reuters.com/HEALTH-...S/dgkvlgkrkpb/

Oh, and I vote Ken

I had that Ken doll! Got him for Christmas one year with Swinging PJ

Todd?

[dunfree]

I didn’t know Key Party Barbie was a thing.

[buttahflake]

How bout Gary or Doug

[The SnowShow]

Reportedly up to 80% of those infected may be asymptomatic while spreading this shit.

Where do you see that? I’ve seen 40%.

[bennymac]

Darren? Karen and Darren.


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That’s a good option for sure

[tellybele]

We just called em Okies, covers both genders and I tended to hang with the beaners. Okies were a subset of gringos.

[MultiVerse]

Looks pretty similar to flu death during the 2017/18 rates for the under 65 crowd. Although the flu takes more sub-18 https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm

It looks like COVID is around ten times more deadly than the flu even for the under 65 crowd.

According to your source for the '17/18, notably bad, influenza season IFR-Symptomatic by age group:

18-49 → = 0.02%
50-64 → = 0.05%
__65+ → = 0.9%

COVID-19 IFR percentages for New York City based on seroprevalence:

18-44 → = 0.09%
45-64 → = 0.8%
65-74 → = 2.6%
_75+ → = 7.1%


Note: If excess deaths are included then COVID-19 deaths are 16% higher. The COVID-19 percentages are also based on positive serology test results which includes the asymptomatic whereas the flu numbers are based on CDC symptomatic estimates. The flu fatality percentages are an order of magnitude smaller if the upwards of 50% asymptomatic flu infections are included.


According to the CDC people age 20 to 44 accounted for 20% of the coronavirus hospitalizations in the U.S. whereas for the '17/18 flu season people age 18 to 49 accounted for only 10% of the influenza hospitalizations. There's also a much higher percentage of people susceptible to SARS2 compared with the flu virus.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=3590771

[XXX-er]

62 % of Brazilians are > 29 years of age and their pres might be a bigger moran than Trump if that is possible

27000 dead and coming on strong in a country with a lot of young so I wonder if its just old folks or young folk too??

[old goat]

Where do you see that? I’ve seen 40%.

Pick a number. There will be a source.

[Bunion 2020]

Source.

https://time.com/5842669/coronavirus...-transmission/

[The SnowShow]

Source.

https://time.com/5842669/coronavirus...-transmission/

“It’s difficult to extrapolate the results to larger populations, since the people on board the ship were living in close quarters while entirely isolated from outside life for about a month.”

Not saying it’s wrong but...

[jono]

Media still using "asymptomatic" to describe a mixed population of true asymptomatic cases and pre-symptomatic. Not helpful that the author apparently misses this and warns that asymptomatic cases can cause symptoms...in someone else. How many of these people developed symptoms in the next week or two? It's a fine point with respect to contagiousness, but the confusion of those two groups is a big chunk of why people think they can ignore the disease altogether.

[Bunion 2020]

Agree, and if the number is only 40% that still is frightening as hell.

[KQ]

I didn’t know Key Party Barbie was a thing.

It was the 70s so ya know......

[Mr. Mike]

Back in rural Michigan "Joey" was the preferred term... for a moron in general. No disrespect to any Joseph's around here.

About 100 pages back I proposed “Darwin”

[XXX-er]

Media still using "asymptomatic" to describe a mixed population of true asymptomatic cases and pre-symptomatic. Not helpful that the author apparently misses this and warns that asymptomatic cases can cause symptoms...in someone else. How many of these people developed symptoms in the next week or two? It's a fine point with respect to contagiousness, but the confusion of those two groups is a big chunk of why people think they can ignore the disease altogether.

people in america think they can ignore Covid becuz of your fucking idiot president's complete failure to lead his country thru a pandemic which has cost many thousands of lives

[Mr. Mike]

It looks like COVID is around ten times more deadly than flu even for the under 65 crowd.

According to your source for the '17/18, notably bad, influenza season IFR-S by age:

18-49 → = 0.02%
50-64 → = 0.05%
__65+ → = 0.9%

COVID-19 IFR percentages for New York City by age based on seroprevalence:

18-44 → = 0.09%
45-64 → = 0.8%
65-74 → = 2.6%
_75+ → = 7.1%


Also, according to the CDC people aged 20 to 44 accounted for 20% of the coronavirus hospitalizations in the U.S. whereas for the '17/18 flu season people aged 18 to 49 accounted for only 10% of the influenza hospitalizations.

On top of which there's a much higher percentage of people susceptible to SARS2 compared with the flu virus.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=3590771

And comparing flu numbers from prior years with no social distancing to Covid numbers from a few months of social distancing is apples to oranges. And comparing a bug for which we have a somewhat effective vaccine every year to a bug against we have no defense other than avoiding other people is apples to potatoes.

So influenza is life threatening if you are in an extremely compromised physical state and or too fucking stupid to get a flu shot. Covid is life threatening if you are a human being in 2020. Why the hell do people continue trying to compare the 2?

[Tri-Ungulate]

It was the 70s so ya know......

[KQ]

Wow.

https://www.facebook.com/brian.k.sim...3102628927090/