SALT LAKE CITY (AP) -- With a big influx of retirees and lots of
fertile, family-minded Mormons, Utah is projected to be one of the
five fastest-growing states over the next three decades.
The Census Bureau said Thursday that Utah's population is
expected to increase 56 percent, or by more than 1.2 million
people, between 2000 and 2030. Nevada and Arizona are expected to
double in population, and a gain of nearly 80 percent is projected
in Florida and almost 60 percent in Texas.
One reason for the boom in Utah is the Mormon church. It is
estimated at least 70 percent of the state's 2.2 million residents
are members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.
Because of the church's emphasis on big families, Utah's
fertility rate is 2.56 children per woman of childbearing age, the
highest in the nation. (The national rate was 2.03 in 2001.) The
state also has the nation's highest average of people per
household, 3.13, and the lowest median age, 27.5.
It also has one of the nation's fastest-growing older
populations. Its 65-and-older population has climbed 27 percent in
the past 10 years, and will rise an additional 28 percent in the
next decade, according to the Utah Division of Aging and Adult
Services.
Retiring baby boomers -- many of them from California -- are
moving to Utah, often drawn by the red-rock beauty of the southern
part of the state.
Judy and Steve Merrill moved to St. George, billed unofficially
as Utah's retirement capital, last fall from their home in northern
Virginia. They previously owned a second home in Arizona.
"We started comparing, and this had more to offer," said
51-year-old Judy Merrill, a former employee at the World Bank in
Washington.
She rattled off the benefits: outdoor activities, five national
parks within short driving distance, theater, concerts, a new
hospital, attractive housing prices (average selling price for a
single-family home in St. George this year: $243,620), and an
escape from 14-hour work days and long commutes in the nation's
capital.
When she talks to friends in Virginia, she said, the
conversation always turns to what they do not like about the
metropolitan area: traffic and high prices. In southern Utah, she
said, the conversation is about scenic hiking trails or clubs to
join.
"It's just a very different feel to it, and I enjoy that," she
said.
Steve Merrill, 53, traded the stress of a public health service
job in Washington to become a part-time hiking guide for a spa, and
has lost about seven pounds.
The boom is being felt in the northern part of the state, too.
New subdivisions astride Utah's Wasatch mountain range are creeping
closer to and up the hills framing the Salt Lake Valley, were most
of the state's residents live.
According to the Census projections, Florida, California and
Texas will account for 46 percent of the nation's population growth
between 2000 and 2030, with each gaining more than 12 million
residents. Florida will supplant New York as the nation's
third-largest state, behind California and Texas.
Arizona and North Carolina should gain enough residents to join
the nation's 10 most populous states, the Census projects,
replacing Michigan and New Jersey.
The highest population growth -- 88 percent -- is projected in the
South and West, according to the Census.
(Copyright 2005 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)
APTV-04-20-05 1503MDT
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