Hey Red Baron! What Does Your Foreacast Model Have In Store for Us This Weekend?

[Lane Meyer]

I need some expert input - weather.com says no snow til Tuesday, NOAA WRH says snow Saturday night through Monday - what says you, our venerable meteorologist, about the weather patterns expected in Mammoth/Tahoe (and thus SLC with an 8 hour delay) this weekend?

[Lane Meyer]

^^Bump for the goods!!! (How was yor day at Alta??)

[Red Baron]

Alta was good; Lumpy's a freaking rockstar for putting up with my *second day of the year out* gaper ass...

I seriously know very little about Tahoe area weather, in the micro-climate sense, other than it was much colder in the garage of the last house I rented there than in the main part of the house. Go figure.

(That, and at some weather-geek conference I went to a few years ago, they made us all promise to refer to the mountains there as the Sierra, rather than the Sierras, when we went back home.)

I'm pretty pumped about this weather pattern for Utah, and some good mountain snow from Sunday night through Wednesday; in looking at the general storm track, you're right in line for the same stuff.

I'd be comfy with a 10" forecast for the Northern half of the Sierra on Sunday, then another storm on Monday and another on Tuesday.

I think the Weather Channel is out to lunch, and while the NWS forecasts are closer, I think they may bust based on the freezing level being pretty high on this first storm; you may end up with a funky rain-crust layer in some spots from this initial storm.

Anyway, hope that helps; bottom line is storm skiing on Sunday, then more fun on Monday and Tuesday...just don't let your mountains squeeze out too much moisture - then between the Sierra and Wasatch, those poor folks in Colorado won't even get a cloud out of it...

[splat]

It's coming in Saturday night, Lane, and answering prayers in Utah on Sunday.

[Arty50]

http://www.bedbathandbeyond.com/asse...413327637P.JPGhttp://www.bedbathandbeyond.com/asse...413327637P.JPG

[Droopy]

^^sweet spatulas, I cant wait to get a pair^^

So jealous

[mrryde]

RB,

Can you speculate on a forecast beyond next tuesday into the following weekend?

[Lane Meyer]

Thanks mang! Looks good for all involved. Bring it on!!

[irul&ublo]

CAZ069-040230- WEST SLOPE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA- INCLUDING...BLUE CANYON 330 AM PST FRI DEC 3 2004 .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 35 TO 55. LOCALLY WINDY EAST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 45 MPH THIS MORNING. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 29. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 31 TO 51. BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SATURDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SNOW LIKELY THEN SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 13 TO 31. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 13 TO 29. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WINDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WINDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S . LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

[freshies]

Ullr is coming Lane....Sun looks like a good pow day (another cold storm), and Mon and Tues another storm comes in...

...MORE SNOW EXPECTED IN SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY..

ANOTHER COLD PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA IS
FORECAST TO BRING SNOW INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA SATURDAY EVENING AND
SPREAD EAST AND SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND THE CENTRAL SIERRA
SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE NORTHERN SIERRA COULD TOTAL UP
TO A FOOT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE A FEW INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND EXTREME
WESTERN NEVADA BY SUNDAY MORNING. TWO MORE WEATHER SYSTEMS TRACKING
EAST FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST ARE
EXPECTED TO BRING ADDITIONAL SNOW TO THE SIERRA WITH RAIN OR SNOW IN
THE VALLEYS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES AND SNOW LEVELS
SLOWLY RISE.

PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE SIERRA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
CAN EXPECT TO ENCOUNTER WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER.

[Squirrel99]

I'm pretty pumped about this weather pattern for Utah, and some good mountain snow from Sunday night through Wednesday; in looking at the general storm track, you're right in line for the same stuff.

I'd be comfy with a 10" forecast for the Northern half of the Sierra on Sunday, then another storm on Monday and another on Tuesday.
Anyway, hope that helps; bottom line is storm skiing on Sunday, then more fun on Monday and Tuesday...just don't let your mountains squeeze out too much moisture - then between the Sierra and Wasatch, those poor folks in Colorado won't even get a cloud out of it...

<pandering, as in kid asking Santa Claus for a really important present>
"Dear Santa Red Baron, could you PLEASE help us out in the PacNosnoWest." We don't even have a base to ski hard pack on yet. We'd really like to be open by Christmas. This weekend is only our first 'storm' of the season which has a pineapple express following it- I really hope we can have 3000 foot freezing levels all week so we can try to get our mountains open (and stop weed whacking at Baker). Please send us lots of snow so we can open soon.

Thank you Red Santa Baron,
little timmy