
Originally Posted by
shredgnar
$100K in a day is not much (especially for a regional brewery) for beers that had to age in barrels for a year, paid for a warehouse to store em, bought the barrels, some of them went bad, labor, had the bottling line and process dialed so they were bottle bombs etc. etc. You aren't "Making a $100K in a day" that's not all profit. You are regaining $90K of your investment in a day after 6-12 months of paying for the thing I listed above. That isn't going to keep the doors open long. Yeah, margins are better out of the taproom, but the risk of not selling out is there too. What if it pours rain on the bottle release day?
Equipment is a capital expense that is depreciated over time and while it does affect the bottom line, it usually isn't factored into the price of the product as it is an expense that every brewery shares. However, your point is correct that the bigger the equipment, the lower it costs per bbl usually, however, bigger batches require much more quality control to avoid loss. A 750 bbl batch goes bad and you are putting a lot of beer (and money) down the drain. Not to mention that NEIPAs specifically have a very small window of freshness, so to sell 750 bbl (46,000 4 packs of 16oz cans) you better have a pretty damn popular product that is dialed. Not to mention the significant amount of loss to the trub monster.
I don't know about the east coast breweries, but many of the guys doing these NEIPAs aren't brewing them in massive batches. Our local NEIPA superstar brewery is only brewing in 15 bbl batches and selling cans out the door and in a small tap room in a strip mall. They are actually using a mobile canning company to can their beers too, which ups their costs significantly. Labels are even more expensive for these one-off beers. You want just 1000 labels? You could be paying around $.40 a can, and you are paying a kid $12 an hour to put them on by hand on a roller. Of course this isn't the case everywhere, but at the really small guys it is.
Obviously, economies of scale apply in every facet of this, but the bigger the brewery, the less of the mystique behind the brand. You think Sam Adams could have a can release and have a line around the block charging $8 a can? Nope. But the guy on a 15bbl located in a shopping mall with far less overhead can. The trick is, how do you keep that mystique as you scale up?
The margins are tighter than you might think on these breweries is my point. I doubt many of them are laughing their way to the bank, and all it takes is a downturn or change in the market and you'll see the ones who didn't do their homework start to get filtered out.
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