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Thread: First Solid Fall Swell is in the Water

  1. #26
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    SF
    Posts
    3,627
    i'm psyched to get out in some small junk - AMs this week look good for me to get my learn on.
    Craig Kelly is my co-pilot.

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  2. #27
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Cruzing
    Posts
    12,169
    Um, dateline storm looks solid right now. Not sure how big it will be, cause this thing will need to travel far, but we should have some long period swell 5 days or so.

    Wind Model



    Period Model





    edit: for last nights predictions from SS:

    According to the models this is to be a most imprssive strom, if not small in size. And confiremd data so far support that prognisis, with 60+ kt winds already acting on the oceans surface. We've run some preliminary numbers and virtual fetch looks like a likley possibiliy providing a higher than usual set wave count in the 17-20 sec period energy bands, and energy to top out in the 23 sec period range. Swell arrial expected over the weekend for California. Hawaii to be plagued by the usual issue, namely that the fetch is to nearly bypass the Islands to the east. Still, just sheer brute force will likeley insure some degree of swell for the early weekend with most size in the 17 sec range, but size limited to the mid-utility class range (upper intermediate class).
    Last edited by Ottime; 10-22-2008 at 07:42 AM.

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