Dear big fucker in the pacific,
Where oh where will you go? On whom will you poop?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA...-ir4-loop.html
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Dear big fucker in the pacific,
Where oh where will you go? On whom will you poop?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA...-ir4-loop.html
Come to butthead.....
if that Rex block sitting off of the Cali coast can break apart, Cali, Utah & Col could get slammed but right now it looks like it is being pushed north to BC.
Hey mother nature - stop sending snow to the PNW - they have already got enough.....
elevens
Touring on Thursday and Friday to check out glaciers mr pow11. Still trying to figure out where that BCA package is - will keep you updated. May stay inbounds Sat - have some Movement Goliaths to try out,.
*****ANTIJINX*****
Extended Forecast For Whistler - Blackcomb.
Friday.. Cloudy With Sunny Periods. 30 Percent Chance Of Showers Or Flurries.
Snowfall Accumulation Trace.
Rainfall Amounts Trace.
Freezing Level 2000 Metres.
Saturday.. Snow.
Snowfall Accumulation 25 To 35 Cm.
Freezing Level 1500 Metres.
Sunday.. Snow.
Snowfall Accumulation 30 To 40 Cm.
Freezing Level 1000 Metres.
*****ANTIJINX*****
That is a big fucking storm. All I know is that I wouldn't want to be in a boat in the Gulf of AK right now...
here's a link from the site about fixing your java settings to see the big fucker.
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/visit/AniS/plugin_info.html
And I am not sure if it is a Rex Block per se so much as the storm splitting as it hits the ridge off the west coast. But as of now, it is a BIG FUCKER
The only good thing at this point that I can say for Central and So. Cal. is the surf report don't suck.
Expecing 5-8 foot waves this weekend...
Neither am I, but i always understood a L to be directly ontop of a H or vice versa. That prevents the progression of systems, but rather what is happening is that the H pressure is building east and as the L drops in from the NW, it will run into the building ridge splitting the energy sending a piece to the North (hence the good forecast for Whistler) with the other energy closing off to the south...
my 2 cents and like I said, I am no expert either.
And I'm back in the game baby!! See everyone up in Whistler for the next two weeks straight.
ANTIJINX!!
never thought i'd say this but..."poop on me please"
cool, this should make the avalanche course I'm taking this weekend pretty interesting with lots of new snow to assess stability on. Maybe they'll let me make some turns too. ANTIJINXing
Dear Big Effer,
Slow down until I get to Alta the middle of next week.
Very Truly Yours,
Mcwop
Hey fucker,
Remember that mexican place you stoped at in Anchorage? Yep, that one. I have a nice place picked out where you can go diarrhea. :fm:
i have to blow off Sunday for Christmas dinners.
Anyone want to go up from Vancouver on Monday?
well its raining balls here
elevens,
after looking again, what we are seeing is a huge parent low that isn't going anywhere for the next week, it will spit out energy that will split over the coming days and you are right when I think a Rex Block develops towards the beginning of the next week.
I thought this thread was going to be your ode to SuPu.
http://www.biglines.com/photos/pbpic3564.jpg
(I guess it's better that I was wrong...)
dibs.
4321
Well the 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecasts both had equal chances of the trough developing over the intermountain west into next week along with equal chances of the high pressure off the coast connecting with the high pressure currently developing my James Bay Canada. The latter would mean less chances of snow, the former means snow. But just looking at the 3-7 models (which is only really the 12z GFS model run) there looks to be high pressure, but some baroclinicity under a NW flow...
Keep your fingers crossed and pay attention when the new 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecasts come out at 3pm Eastern today.
Surprised this hasn't been posted yet. From NWAC.
Quote:
EXTENDED WEATHER SYNOPSIS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
After spreading heaviest precipitation into northern
California and southern Oregon early-mid Friday, the split
offshore trough is expected to slowly lift increasing
moisture northward over the area later Friday morning
through early Saturday. This generally light rain or snow,
heaviest in the south, should be accompanied by
substantially lowering freezing levels and increasing
ridgetop winds. While most precipitation should be received
as snow in the passes and along the east approaches to the
passes, some local freezing rain is possible on the west
approaches to the passes. As the trough moves east of the
Cascades early Saturday, decreasing and more showery
precipitation is likely along with a pass wind shift to
brief westerly. However, any break should be quite brief, as
the next splitting upper trough rapidly approaches the coast
late Saturday. Although heaviest associated precipitation
should be across Oregon and northern California Sunday, a
moderate northern part of the trough should still spread
increasing light to moderate rain or snow across the area
early-mid Sunday along with lowering freezing levels and
moderate ridgetop winds. Briefly decreasing and more showery
precipitation is expected to accompany the split trough late
Sunday, heaviest in the south, along with relatively low
freezing levels.
Extended forecast models continue to indicate a briefly
strengthening and consolidated west to southwesterly flow
should direct several stronger weather systems across the
area Monday into Tuesday of next week. This moderate to
heavy rain or snow should be accompanied by strong winds and
a brief but substantial rise in freezing levels mid-late
Monday.
EXTENDED FORECAST FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
Gradually increasing clouds spreading northward early-mid
Friday. Light rain or snow spreading slowly northward mid-
late Friday with chance local freezing rain west approaches
to the passes and near Columbia Gorge outflow. Light showers
north, light rain or snow central and moderate rain or snow
south early Saturday, with light to moderate rain or snow
spreading to most areas mid-day. Light showers Saturday
afternoon, but increasing light to moderate rain or snow
redeveloping Saturday night and early Sunday. Light rain or
snow north and moderate rain or snow south mid-late Sunday,
decreasing briefly Sunday night. Increasing rain or snow
early Monday.
* SNOW LEVELS
6-8000 ft N, 7-9000 ft S early Friday
4-6000 ft N and S late Friday
3-5000 ft N and S early Saturday
2-4000 ft N, 3-5000 ft S late Saturday
3-5000 ft N and S early Sunday
2-4000 ft N and s late Sunday, except snow levels at the
surface Cascade passes and east slopes Friday and Friday
night, rising briefly to near free air levels early
Saturday. Snow levels lowering to near the surface again
mid-late Saturday through early Sunday, rising to free
air levels mid-late Sunday.
Oh Fuck. I'm heading on tuesday, but it looks like sunday will be required too. Fuck studying for exams.
http://squall.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_pac_loop.gif <--- 72hr jet forecast
I don't believe any of this. In fact, I am off to wash my car now (seriously), as I want it to be nice and clean for my drive back up to Truckee Friday morning. No snow here, move on now...
313 AM PST WED DEC 6 2006
...WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE SIERRA FRIDAY EVENING
AND FRIDAY NIGHT..
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE ABRUPTLY THIS
WEEKEND...BECOMING MUCH MORE ACTIVE...WITH MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST STORM
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SIERRA BY
FRIDAY EVENING...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND STORM WILL PUSH IN BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA...WITH SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE AT LAKE
LEVEL. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE SYSTEMS...CAUSING LOW
VISIBILITIES FROM BLOWING SNOW.
PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL OVER THE SIERRA PASSES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON
OR FRIDAY NIGHT SHOULD CONSIDER LEAVING EARLIER IN THE DAY TO AVOID
POTENTIAL HAZARDOUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO YOUR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Freshies, didn't you have enough of posting forecasts last year for the Christmas "nukage" season? :FIREdevil
Oh, and take your time on Friday. I suggest leaving late in the day. The weather should be beautiful, and of course there won't be a rush this week from the Bay Area since we don't have snow.
I'll be able to sneak up Sunday. Exams suck., but it looks like I got the lucky day to get off. /antijinx
I'm going to be bussing up from UBC. I haven't really met anyone yet of a similar level here so if anyone wouldn't mind an addition to their group please drop me a PM. I know a powder day is not a good time to be asking to join groups, but if I can't keep up, feel free to ditch. I'm an ex-racer so don't worry too much about being slowed down.
Wish I could make it to Vancouver... sounds awesome.
Ahhhh...remember last year's Tahoe Nukeage thread? That was some good times..<ANTI JINX>
Yeah I loved having to go out all day new year's eve and new year's day measuring flood waters. That was way better than skiing or drinking with friends.
If only every year could be that grand.
Hey freshies: borrow a convertible to drive up here and wear some daisy dukes and a halter top.:fmicon: