The weekend's looking bad. I'm going up Thursday to get the little window of snow and lower fl.
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The weekend's looking bad. I'm going up Thursday to get the little window of snow and lower fl.
I’ll be a skiing golf course in Michigan… SICKNESS!
Friday could have some potential, too.
I am holding out for Friday....although it looks pretty horrible.
I might be in for a little action in between the rain drops on Thursday at Crystal if it looks like it will be snow for a few hours at least.
I hope, I hope this clears out by the time the new year is here!
Thursday is the one day this week I can't get on the hill. It's been raining here and on the mt all day so I didn't bother today.
You aren't the only people in the PNW (although I'm absent, check the forecast for Mt Hood):
Quote:
For: Mt Hood .
Created: December 20, 2005 17:11:55 PST
: Winter Storm Warning in effect until 6 pm PST Today
This Afternoon: Ocasional snow. Snow accumulation 1 inch. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. Southwest wind 18 mph. High 26.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. Southwest wind 18 mph. Low 21.
Wednesday: Snow. Snow accumulation 8 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. South wind 25 mph. High 23.
Wednesday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 12 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. Southeast wind 22 mph. Low 24.
Thursday: Snow. Snow accumulation 8 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. South wind 25 mph. High 24.
Thursday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 11 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. Low 22.
Friday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 21.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Low 20.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 20.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Low 18.
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. High 17.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 50 percent. Low 17.
Monday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 22.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. Low 18.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. High 22.
^ everytime I've gone to see my parents its dumped at hood:biggrin: this time they'll have the canyon open too
Too bad that forecast is for 9500 feet. At 6000 feet it will be raining.
Lookin a little better for the weekend - hopefully we get a little bit of snow to cover the crap were seeing and then the storm moves on b4 the warmth:
Quote:
The associated cold front should quickly move across the region late Thursday night causing lowering freezing levels bringing the coolest air into the area
for this storm cycle by early Friday. However, showers should
decrease in the cool air Friday between systems. The latest
models indicate that the storm expected Saturday may shift
northward to affect mainly Vancouver Island Saturday. If this
takes place the weather would likely be mild and relatively dry,
especially in the south and central part with light precipitation
reaching the Olympics and Mt Baker area later Saturday.
And here's the forecast for 12330ft on Mt Rainier... awesome, just awesome... can't understand why anyone is complaining :rolleyes:
67 inches in the next week, temps in the low 20s!
c'mon, who's up for a dawn patrol to thumb rock? :eek:
Quote:
Tonight: Snow showers then snow. Snow accumulation 10 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. South wind 12 mph. Low 14.
Wednesday: Snow. Snow accumulation 6 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. South wind 15 mph. High 18.
Wednesday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 13 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. Southwest wind 18 mph. Low 16.
Thursday: Snow. Snow accumulation 6 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. South wind 16 mph. High 21.
Thursday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 9 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 100 percent. South wind 12 mph. Low 17.
Friday: Snow. Snow accumulation 1 inch. Probability of measurable precipitation 60 percent. High 24.
Friday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 6 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. Low 24.
Saturday: Snow. Snow accumulation 7 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. High 27.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. Low 19.
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Snow accumulation 1 inch. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 24.
Sunday Night: Snow. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 60 percent. Low 20.
Monday: Cloudy. Chance of snow. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 23.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. Low 21.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Snow accumulation 2 inches. Probability of measurable precipitation 40 percent. High 23.
Rain, rain, rain...:cussing:
I'm going to try to ski Wednesday or Thursday anyway.
From looking at the data on NWAC it seems like Stevens has been holding out pretty well. Temps haven't gotten much above freezing yet, I imagine due to the cold air from Eastern Washington trapped in the pass. This cold air can't hold out for long, though. I think Thursday and Friday still hold some promise if today doesn't do too much damage and freezing levels stay at the low end of what the forecast calls for.
Baker is in the worst shape. Temps have been in the 40s and their snowpack is getting hit hard.
Hmmm...maybe Friday is looking better.
(from http://www.nwac.us/products/SABNW )
SNOW LEVELS--CASCADE MTNS
6000 ft N, 6500 ft S Wednesday morning
6500 ft N and S Wednesday afternoon
5500 ft N, 6000 ft S Wednesday night
4500 ft N, 6000 ft S Thursday morning
5500 ft N, 7500 ft S mid-day Thursday
4500 ft N, 6500 ft S Thursday afternoon
4000 ft N, 5000 ft S Thursday night, except snow levels
locally near the surface Wednesday morning in a gradually
thinning cool easterly surface flow. While a weak easterly flow
should continue Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, the
near surface air temperatures should generally rise above
freezing, with the recent freezing glaze slowly melting and
sloughing from exposed surfaces
SNOW LEVELS--OLYMPIC MTNS
6000 ft Wednesday
5000 ft Wednesday night
4500 ft Thursday morning
6000 ft mid-day Thursday
4000 ft Thursday afternoon
3500 ft Thursday night
Cascade Snow/Freezing Levels refer to the northern Washington
Cascades (N) through Mt Hood area (S). Central Washington
Cascade snow levels (typically near Snoqualmie Pass) are normally
midway between indicated N and S levels. Note that surface
snow/freezing levels are common near the passes during easterly
pass flow and may result in multiple snow/freezing levels.
&&
24 HOUR FORECAST OF PRECIPITATION IN INCHES OF WATER EQUIVALENT
ENDING AT 4AM
THURS FRI
HURRICANE RIDGE .75 .75
MT BAKER 1 1-1.5
WASHINGTON PASS .5 .5-.75
STEVENS PASS .5-.75 .75
SNOQUALMIE PASS .75 1-1.5
MISSION RIDGE .25 .25
CRYSTAL MTN .75 1
PARADISE 1 1-1.5
WHITE PASS .5-.75 .75-1
MT HOOD 1 1-1.5
Fuck this- I'm going to take up checkers.
Just got back from Bachelor. Might as well stayed home and took a shower would of been just as wet.:mad: At Mid-Mt. it was cooling off enough to freeze. Oh well,maybe in a couple of days it will change for the better.
Is there any nonrain skiing within driving distance of Seattle (under 8 hours) this weekend?:confused:
You might want to look at Red Mountain in B.C. - but they may be on the cusp of the rain/snow divide.
Cross your fingers, but don't hold your breath. We cancelled our Friday bus trip.
Big White looks like they've escaped the rains
Blackcomb webcam lookin OK right now
skied blackcomb today. the lower 1/2 of the mtn is a total washout. the alpine is going off. full on puking from glacier creek and up all day long. knee deep through the couloir. it only got better towards the end. we can only pray that this holds through the next few days. make or break time. oh yeah: HUGE ANTI-JINX :biggrin:
NICE.Quote:
Originally Posted by powder11
************ANTI-JINX*******************
I was up at blackcomb today too. 7th heaven was pretty good down in the trees. Horstman and blackcomb glaciers were getting up to 4 or 5 inches by the end of the day, but tough to see much. I ended up smacking into an ice block in the middle of a carve and eating shit pretty bad. Its been pouring rain in the valley all night....it should be deep and heavy up there tomorrow.
North Shore Mountains = SHIT
Theyre gonna close any day now
noaa was calling for serious ice accumulations at stevens/snoqualmie today. any word? i wanna see what two inches of ice looks like.
I looked at the Stevens cam a couple times today and didn't see anything like that. I'm sure they're not out of the woods on that one yet, though.
A few mountains in the suburb of metropolis Vancouver, closing? Holy shit, I thought they'd be good year-round!Quote:
Originally Posted by duders
Seriously -- Grouse, Seymour, etc... They're fucking jib mountains. They suck more than Snoqualmie. There's only one thing the North Shore is good at, and nowadays, the competition is crazy...
It has been coldish up at Stevens area, it's funny that that might be the bigger long term problem. A tour on Mon on 5 mi E of the pass brought a fair number of good turns, but they were turns on baseless sugar. When I clicked out of my binding at 5200', I stepped through the 3' of snow on the ground and stomped the dirt underneath. If we don't get a good soaking, this could spell real trouble for the next few months. Looks like the cold air is on the way out and the soaking should commence.Quote:
Originally Posted by The AD
Yeah, I think so!Quote:
Originally Posted by Stealth Radness
Things are looking very grim for the weekend and early next week (i.e., Stevens should get the soaking it needs!), but long term projections suggest things will improve around the middle of next week. Let's just hope that when the freezing levels go down the precip continues.
Keep the faith, folks! This is just the tail end of the jinx of 2005. 2006 is a fresh start and it's going to be epic, right? :fm:
edit: the Stevens Pass highway cam actually looks good right now!
http://images.wsdot.wa.gov/us2/Stevens/sumteast.jpg
I agree- Bring on 2006!Quote:
Originally Posted by The AD
My faith is wavering.
However, the break in the weather should be very brief, as in
hours, with extended forecast models indicated a very stormy end
to the current year as several increasingly strong weather
disturbances track over the region in a gradually strengthening
and slowly cooler west to southwest upper flow. The first
disturbance should spread increasing moderate rain or snow to the
region mid-late Monday, preceded by slightly rising freezing
levels and followed by cooler more showery weather late Monday
night, with a much stronger weather system poised to move over
the area mid-late Tuesday into early Wednesday and a final
moderate though slightly splitting disturbance expected mid-late
Wednesday into early Thursday. While a brief but significant rise
in freezing levels is likely ahead of the first strong
disturbance mid-day Tuesday, significant cooling is expected with
and behind the disturbance when moderate to heavy snow showers
are likely, and only very limited warming is likely with the
second disturbance on Wednesday when precipitation should remain
as snow in most mountain locations.
And I shall be in lurk mode up at Crustal.
Come'on cold weather....
So far, Xtal's the only one holding court in WA- Snoq/Alp & Stevens seem to be on the 'break even' streak - more moisture but base depths seem steady and temps are right at the freezing mark.
If anyone wants some wet glop, head to Xtal tomorrow:
MM/DD Hour Temp 24 Hr Total
Snow
Elevation 6300'
------------------------------
12 22 1400 30 0 138
12 22 1500 30 1 138
12 22 1600 29 2 52
12 22 1700 29 4 250
12 22 1800 28 8 58
12 22 1900 28 8 59
I've noticed Crystal hasn't even been running the GV chair the last few days. Maybe they'll fire it up tomorrow for some freshies?
I'm making a game day decision tomorrow a.m. whether I go at all, but if I do it will probably be Stevens since I can get $12 off with my Whistler Edge card.
Skipped the last couple days cuz of all the rain, but today was the day. Freezing levels dropped to the bottom of Emerald/Red chairs and it was dumping big time. I don't know what the total accumulation was, but I was coated in 1" of snow every time I rode the chair back up. I'd guess 15+cm from today alone.
The upper part of the mountain (Harmony & Peak chairs) never did open. Avy control and hi winds. There should be lots of fresh pow up there for tomorrow.
The snow today was very wet & heavy. But it was snow not rain, so I ain't complaining. If it continues like this overnite, it should easily erase whatever was lost from the rains of the last 2 days. I'm just hoping that the freezing levels continue to stay at least at mid mtn till we can ride out this warm front.
Daily photo from the W/B website looks good:
http://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/NR/...dec22_05_2.jpg
Catskinner chair, perhaps?
Yep.... Catskinner... 16cm is the official dumpage for this afternoon. It was still snowing heavily when I left today. I wouldnt be surprised to see another 16+cm overnite.