rain below 10k most of the day today, really seasonal disturbance. Looks sunny and above average temps on the weekend. Next week looks a tad cooler to start but nothing of any scale on the horizon yet.
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rain below 10k most of the day today, really seasonal disturbance. Looks sunny and above average temps on the weekend. Next week looks a tad cooler to start but nothing of any scale on the horizon yet.
Pssssst...
It was puking above 12K today in the sawatch. 1"/hour status, with full-on winter storm winds. Not much is skiable, but what is skiable is gooooooooood skiing...
ridiculous nice weekend in store. 65-70 degrees at 8k both days! Next week looks cooler and a tad unsettled but nothing big looming at this point. Indian Summer.
Unsettled and cooler weather move in on Mon and Tues. The cold front isn't as strong as it first looked so expect little to no accumulations below 9k and only small accumulations above 9k. High pressure starting on Wed afternoon with warming temps again to above normal. Another front in store for the late weekend.
This storm is splitting as it crosses Colorado from west-to-east. One piece will put down some rain and snow mostly late Monday night through Tuesday evening. Accumulating snow will stay above 9,000ft, with some flakes down to 7,500-8,000 during heavy showers. Then the southern energy will take over and could put down some decent snows above 10k down in the southeast mountains (Crestones, south of Pikes Peak). The plains look to be on the edge...with the cold front coming north-to-south through Denver Tuesday afternoon. It should be mostly rain in the urban areas Tuesday night through sunrise Wednesday, though accumulating snows will get down to 6,500ft by Tuesday night, so the foothills and palmer divide will be white, and there could be some flakes mixing down into the cities as well.
This storm isn't a big deal, but Tuesday will be colder and wet, and most places will get sunnier on Wednesday with the exception of the SE mountains.
Two storms clip the northeast mountains/plains on Thursday night and Saturday night, but the result will just be some wind, clouds, and a few snow showers above 9-10k.
Wind and moisture at ~10,000ft, with southern energy closing off over the CO/NM border on Tuesday night:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s_700_054m.gif
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...2=-105.879&e=0
According to NOAA, tomorrow could be nice at Loveland and the Basin...
still realtively warm in the valleys and the moisture eroded before the temp dropped so as predicted just rain for the most part below 9500ft or so. Nothing major going on for the rest of this week and weekend. Perhaps next week we could see better snow results. Warm temps are going to remain an issue for the base elevations for awhile longer it seems.
Looks like some moisture. They are syaing 1-3 and chance for more later in the week, nothing too substantial for summit though.
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...ield2=-105.967
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/ECI8.JPG
Lincoln style!
Looks like some COLD air for early next week. Also the potential for some decent snow. As with most of these early systems it is fast moving and once the front passes moisture will diminish quickly. However this is the coldest air of the season so far.
It's my understanding that every year, every Nino is different here in Colorado (it's natural/normal for weather in Colorado to be more variable and different every year than many other places). We'll need lots of Cold if this El Nino is going to be better than the El Nino's of the early 2000's for the Vail area...
Anyhow glad to see Cold is in the forecast, much better if snow comes with it :cool:
typical El NIno winters for Colorado mean above average temps and average precip.
If the EC verifies the front range could be in for a significant event lasting from Tuesday night through Friday.
Not just the EC. The GFS is the only outlier at this point, and even it shows 6-10" in a faster time frame. The other models show 20"+ worth of QPF in the Weds/Thurs slot. This could be an epic fall storm if it all verifies.
Was at A-Basin today. Snowed on and off, maybe an inch or two during the day. It was starting to snow pretty good by 4:30 when I was leaving... Snowed much more east of Vail Pass. It was almost surreal to head over Vail Pass and the further west, the more the clouds broke up. There was this golden glow in Vail's direction from the sun instead of the glow of lights from buildings.
San Juans and Front Range gonna get plowed with this system. Not so confident with wrap around moisture for the Northern and Central Mountains. Everybody should see some snow but the Utah, the San Juans, and possibly the FR could get slammed.
The easterly track now in the GFS brings 2 inches of water over the urban corridor.
Might be touring around Wash Park on Thursday
Having Lived in Vail since around 2000, I don't think there's been a time in the last 10 or 15 years where Keystone received more snow than Vail (or even close). I could swear people told me that in the 80's there were times when Keystone got the dumps (if there were more upslope storms than usual?). Since in the last 10 years at Vail we've been through real thin and real thick (last 2 years at Vail above average snow), was thinking that since things are usually different every year around here, what if Keystone and A-Basin received more snow this year than Vail?
Eagle county will have a fine year. I think it is way early to see how the winter pattern will develop.
hows it look for loveland?Quote:
Originally Posted by montanaskier
Fucking douchebags best stay the fuck away from the San Juans this weekend. Avi. danger will be off the charts!
Stay the fuck away if you value your health!
impressive looking early season storm. ULLR about to bring the pain!
Still early, but did anyone else catch the report at Monarch? Was hearing about the upslope potential, but this?
Tonight: Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 19. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming south southeast. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
Wednesday: Snow. High near 22. Breezy, with a east southeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 8. Wind chill values between -5 and zero. East northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.
Thursday: Snow. High near 17. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Tonight: Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 10. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Wednesday: Snow. High near 18. Breezy, with a south southeast wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible.
Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 5. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible
DUMPING in Avon right now... the weather forecasts look off the chart too, 13-23" down low in Avon, according to Accuweather
whoopeeeeee