Originally Posted by
jono
If we're talking about risks to prove out, I'm pretty sure you're right that the targeting was the top of that list. Which isn't completely trivial, but I'd guess it's more reliable than launch itself, so pretty high probability once it's on the way.
My point wasn't that this whole thing was meaningless, but that the repeated headline of "we hope it moved!" is nonsensical. They hit it, so its trajectory changed.
You can't actually change the speed of an orbital object without changing its trajectory, even if you impact it tangential to its orbit (straight on, as it were) because just slowing it down or speeding it up changes its orbit. But in the case of a real threat, just slowing it down (by itself, if that were possible) might be as effective as anything, since it would alter the timing of its approach to the Earth's orbit.
Or, in the case of a real threat, we might (but probably wouldn't) just tip it out of plane by 0.01 degrees so it goes over our heads by a few million miles a couple years later. There are just a ton of ways to do it, the important thing is spotting it in time and not wringing our hands over it. Which seems easy enough if you read science threads, but pretty significant if you read the political ones.