good to hear. parts of it were developing a thick skin yesterday afternoon
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good to hear. parts of it were developing a thick skin yesterday afternoon
Squaw was .....interesting... today. Some fun spots immediately below Sibera and the bottom third of North Bowl but otherwise :nonono2: Shirley Lake runs are a trainwreck and the bottom is like Judgement Day.
Has anyone hit the West shore? Decent coverage in Donner Summit area down to 7k, curious what's going on in the Rubicon >> Jake's area. Did they get the same pulse that hit Heavenly with 20+?
From yesterday:
http://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org...r-rubicon-peak
Friend's report from Sunday: "It was good. Deep at the top of Jakes, sharky at bottom."
i heard the same. did your friend rip out about 9 inches of edge?
from last weekend. picture story to follow
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQ74tZcp5Tw
^^^^
That looked lovely.
Northstar kind of sucked but the kids had a blast...so success.
I liked everything except that ending. Please rewrite. Good news is the phone number was good.
Looks like the models are in the process of pulling back on precip for the next couple waves. Same old story.
^^^Que?
Looks to me like the opposite
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif
Was reading the Reno forecast discussion (not encouraging) vs the Sac forecast discussion (encouraging). Didn't realize Reno hadn't updated recently and I guess they were seeing the model "waffling" that BA referred to. I don't bother looking at the actual model output. Other people get paid to do that.
And I still have to think about it to get Zulu time right.
I still reserve my right to pessimism.
Nice video PD - that looks much better than I was expecting. Haven't been in the area in a while.
Okay, plots on Open Snow look pretty good. May have to get the fatties out of storage after all.
PD, thanks for posting that. That looked like a hell of a lot of fun to me. My Malamute and I would have loved to have been there with you guys.
To be clear, CP got a bunch more than North Lake. Was definitely still hitting a few things at Alpine on Sunday. That trend looks to reverse with the current forecast for this AR event though.
Great vid, PD. Thanks. Somebody slid into the Subaru while you guys were out?
^yup, but they did leave their info in a ziploc on the window.
As for model waffles. The GFS flipped from the 0z run, to the 6z run to the 12z run, with the AR going from just slightly north to quite a bit north and back to slightly north. So there is still waffles around.
edit. just checked the 18z and more waffles. this one pushes thurs storm more down the coast, with less liquid in tahoe, but drives the weekend system more on top of us. talk about a guessing game.
Pd, that vid had everything. Well executed. Makes me motivated to get out there.
That video reminds me of a dream I've been replaying in my head the last couple days, thanks!
All this talk of waffles gots me hungry
making my first visit in a looong time to Sierra at Tahoe Wed and Thu for APP clinic -
lots of pics like this are now up as well. just click on a picture
http://www.aboutlaketahoe.com/images...e-back-046.jpg
http://www.aboutlaketahoe.com/images.../eback-101.jpg
Great vid and pics PD!
Holy crap looks like north of Tahoe could get nuked this weekend according to BA
"Well the latest GFS tries to put up to 10 inches of liquid over Lassen"
Eat your waffles. Add some fruit and whipped cream. Enjoy.
I find that he gets excited by every iteration the GFS has thrown out this past week. The 0z run is, wait for it, different, again, from the previous runs.
Best bet is we will get between an inch and several feet by Monday. Current runs dumps on us early Sunday.