I think this is shaping up to be the year I finally stop talking about it and just go do it. I haven't been there in probably 16 years.
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might be hard to get TRPA approval, but i say we build a gigantic snowgun near echo summit with a nozzle diameter of, say, 50 feet, and just suck the lake dry as we plaster the entire tahoe basin with massive amounts of snow.
:cussing:
Damn you Kelly McGillis!
Considering you have to get their approval of the color to paint your house, I'd say that's unlikely... :(
Anyway, from the Tahoe NOAA forecast discussion...
Quote:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV 310 AM PST THU JAN 25 2007 .
SHORT TERM... QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THRU FRIDAY AS UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN SHOULD KEEP CUT-OFF LOW NEAR 38N/130W FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE. WHILE TEMPS WILL STILL REMAIN MILD FOR LATE JANUARY...THE UNUSUALLY WARM MAX TEMPS OF 61 IN TRUCKEE AND 65 AT BRIDGEPORT RAWS YESTERDAY ARE UNLIKELY TO BE REPEATED AS 700 MB TEMPS DROP FROM +4 DEGREES C TO BELOW 0 C BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CONTINUED COOLING AT THIS LEVEL ON FRIDAY. SATURDAY IS DRY FOR NOW BASED ON THE 00Z GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FAVORING THE LOW TO REMAIN OFFSHORE AND SWING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGE REBUILDING OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...THE RADICAL CHANGE INTRODUCED BY THE 06Z GFS TO A COLDER AND MUCH WETTER SCENARIO WITH CLOSED LOW MOVING INTO NRN CA CASTS MORE DOUBT ON CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. WHILE THIS POSSIBILITY BEARS WATCHING FOR SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AND COULD BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED PRECIP FOR PORTIONS OF THE SIERRA...THE 06Z GFS RUN WILL BE TREATED AS AN OUTLIER FOR NOW AND NOT BE REPRESENTED IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. THE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AND INCONSISTENCY DEPICTED BY THE GUIDANCE WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN EXTREMELY HIGH. MJD
.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW POOR CONSISTENCY WITH THE DETAILS OF THE PATTERN. MODELS NOW KEEP THE LOW WELL OFFSHORE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INSIDE SLIDER SHORT WAVE FOR NEXT WED. WITH THE LOW OFFSHORE...WILL KEEP IN LOW POPS IN CASE THE MODELS CHANGE AGAIN WITH THE LOW CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO WOULD BE POSSIBLE. WILL ALSO KEEP IN LOW POPS WITH NO WEATHER WITH INSIDE SLIDER WAVE. WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AROUND...EXPECT DIURNAL RANGES TO BE SMALLER THAN RECENT DAYS. WITH COOLER TEMPS ALOFT...INVERSIONS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER WITH VALLEYS ABLE TO MIX OUT A LITTLE DURING THE DAY. TEMPS MAY COOL MORE THAN ADVERTISED IF THE MID-WEEK COLD FRONT IS FURTHER WEST THAN CURRENTLY PROGGED...BUT GIVEN THE PATTERN...WOULD NOT EXPECT IT TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER WEST. WALLMANN &&
Lets burn skis for Ullr! :FIREdevil
https://www.xythosondemand.com/home/...kwInFlames.jpg
That is Kirkweeds advanced cloud seeding in action. It is why they hvae the “deepest snow pack in Sierras”, and “Tahoe’s best conditions”, with “snow at all elevations”, and “the most expert terrain in the solar system”
Long range forecast/ discussion...January 31 to February 03
--High pressure may build back in next weekend with warming and sunny skies. By the following week, we look unsettled finally, with Pacific storms delivering the kind of moderate to heavy snow the Sierras are most known for. CM.
Customized Kirkwood forecast thingy...
Cool -- thanks.
As a Utard, I am posting here to express support for our Tahoe brethren. I think we are in the same boat this season. I hope that long term forecast about storminess week after next is true for your sake and mine (since anything that shakes up this crap gives a better chance of a storm rolling through to Utah).
buck up little campers, the Dweeb has a glimmer of hope:
THE LONGER RANGE:
A SHIFT IN THE POLAR JET SIMULAR TO THAT OF EARLY DECEMBER IS FORECASTED BY FEBRUARY 1ST. THERE ARE CURRENTLY SOME VERY DYNAMIC WEATHER SYSTEMS NOW FORECASTED TO MOVE THROUGH SIBERIA AND NORTHERN CHINA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE WAVES MAY FEED (DRAW) UPON SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM A RICH AREA NORTH OF THE EQUATOR NEAR INDONESIA AT 120E. AS THESE SYSTEMS CROSS THE MID LATTITUDES THEY MAY TAP THIS RICH MOISTURE SOURCE, FEEDING IT INTO THEIR SYSTEM WHILE MOVING WESTWARD.
IN THAT THERE HAS BEEN STRONG INDICATIONS IN THE ENSEMBLES WITH BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS MODLES FOR RETROGRESSION OF THE LONG WAVE UPPER HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW, DURING THE FIRST CALENDER WEEK OF FEBRUARY...IT SEEMS PLAUSIBLE THAT WE MAY GET A WET STORM BETWEEN THE 3RD OF FEBRUARY AND THE 6TH.......MORE LATER
DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS...................:-)
Siberia, Norhtern China, Indonesia fuck yeah dude those cycles are on the express train to Tahoe. There is no possible way they can get off track and go somewhere else in the next 3 weeks.
I want to have my cake and eat it too: ski pow in the morning, watch the Bears kick-ass in the afternoon! Actually, SB Sunday has yielded some epic days in the past (i recall the Titans vs Rams SB @ Alpine that morning, it was dumping big time) and like New Years Day, it's usually empty...
Go Bears (and pray for snow)!
I believe him B...I don't know why, but I believe him.
http://i109.photobucket.com/albums/n...halfbaked4.jpg
Raining in Novato right now :rolleyes:
You know its a shitty snow year when you start looking at storms in popping up in Siberia and guam......I feel your pain Tahoe...
nope but hopefully it will hit alaskas panhandle
THREAD TITLE: Will Tahoe get this one?
Is this even a consideration this winter? :cussing:
Was there any snow in Tahoe this weekend, even a single &%*^ing flake?
There was just enough cloud cover to prevent corn formation, but not enough for accumulation. It was still fun, but I am starting to loose hope.
Does anybody have any spare crow?
fack, this is brutal: i read yesterday that tahoe is barlely 30% YTD for snow- fall/pack....oh well. i still believe that things will crank up mid-Feb through March, and April will be $$...
FYI... i am heading to HI again the first week of April. so yes, April will be $$$.
in any case, it is getting very bad at Alpine. :(
Kirkwood was a cool this weekend accept for the fact that i demolished my knee on the fucking Wall traverse.:mad: