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Not sure if it'll help or not but I still don't have any flood insurance :eek:Quote:
Originally Posted by skier666
It's looking like not much for tahoe..6-10" Friday night and less for the splitter Saturday night...another do nothing splitter Tuesdayish....this just ain't gonna cut it :frown: (do I use an "anti jinx" here...not sure)
does any one know how deep the low is? like in terms a millibars
No such thing as enough snowQuote:
Originally Posted by elevens
Car washed just washed.
Dear big fuker inthe pacific,
olease come to mammoth, cause we nee some goddang precip.
TIA,
Erica
as promised, my car was washed today: i even sprung for the "delux wash" :biggrin:
high pressure in utah will push it north and or course the pnw and canada will reap all the benefits...again
where the fuck is red baron? we are like sheep, adrift at sea, in need of a capitan...
Here's the link you need to watch: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ay/fxus06.html
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONS FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
300 PM EST WED DEC 06 2006
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK VALID FOR DEC 12 - 16 2006
TODAYS COMPUTER MODEL RUNS ARE AGAIN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE PREDICTED
LOCATION AND INTENSITY OF THE 500-HPA LONG WAVES OVER THE PACIFIC - NORTH
AMERICA SECTOR DURING THE 6-10 DAY FORECAST PERIOD. THEY ALSO SHOW REASONABLY
GOOD CONTINUITY WITH YESTERDAYS RUNS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS FALL INTO ONE OF TWO
GENERAL CLUSTERS WHICH WILL BE DISCUSSED LATER AFTER A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE
MAIN CIRCULATION FEATURES ANTICIPATED FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THREE STRONG
UPPER TROUGHS WITH THEIR ASSOCIATED NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY CENTERS ARE
FORECAST ... ONE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA ... ANOTHER OVER THE ARCTIC
OCEAN ON THE EAST ASIAN SIDE OF THE POLE ... AND THE THIRD SITUATED NEAR
ICELAND. IN ADDITION ... TWO ANOMALOUS RIDGES WILL ALSO BE MAJOR PLAYERS IN THE
6-10 DAY FORECAST FOR THE UNITED STATES. THE FIRST RIDGE HAS ITS ASSOCIATED
POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY CENTER PROGGED JUST WEST OF JAMES BAY CANADA... WITH
PREDICTED DEPARTURES ANYWHERE BETWEEN +90 AND +200 METERS. THE SECOND RIDGE IS
MUCH WEAKER AND IS PREDICTED TO BE NEAR HAWAII. A STRONGER THAN NORMAL
WESTERLY JET IS FORECAST OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC BETWEEN THE GULF OF ALASKA
TROUGH AND THE HAWAIIAN RIDGE. THE TWO GENERAL PATTERNS WHICH ARE INDICATED BY
TODAYS MODEL RUNS (AS ALLUDED TO EARLIER) BOTH HAVE ONE THING IN COMMON... AND
THAT IS INCREASED UNCERTAINTY ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. THE FIRST CLUSTER OF
SOLUTIONS CONNECTS THE HAWAIIAN AND JAMES BAY RIDGES WITH A BROAD AREA OF
POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES WHICH STRETCH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. THE SECOND
CLUSTER OF SOLUTIONS DEPICTS A CHANNEL OF NEGATIVE ANOMALIES FROM THE GULF OF
ALASKA TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS AND EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAIN STATES. THE EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN AND ESPECIALLY THE HIGH RESOLUTION
OPERATIONAL RUN ARE A BIT STRONGER THAN THEIR GFS COUNTERPARTS WITH TROUGHING
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CONUS. BOTH POSSIBILITIES ARE EQUALLY
LIKELY ACCORDING TO TODAYS RUNS. THE POLAR BRANCH OF THE WESTERLIES TRAVERSES
CANADA... WHILE THE MID- LATITUDE BRANCH CROSSES THE LOWER 48 STATES. MOST
SOLUTIONS AGREE ON A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS DURING THE 6-10
DAY PERIOD. IN ALASKA... TROUGHING IS PREDICTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE WHILE UPPER RIDGING COLLAPSES OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF
THE STATE.
TODAYS OFFICIAL 500-HPA BLEND CONSISTS OF 20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z
GFS CENTERED ON DAY 8...10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON
DAY 8...10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL ECMWF CENTERED ON DAY 7...20 PERCENT
OF TODAY'S 0Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 6Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...AND 20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S GFS
SUPERENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8.
THE 6-10 DAY TEMPERATURE PROG IS BASED ON THE KLEIN... NEURAL NET... AND ANALOG
SPECIFICATIONS FROM THE OFFICIAL BLENDED HEIGHTS ...THE CPC AUTO FORECAST...AND
THE CALIBRATED AND UNCALIBRATED 2-METER TEMPERATURE FORECASTS FROM THE GFS
ENSEMBLES. THE CDC TEMPERATURE FORECAST WAS NOT AVAILABLE FOR CONSIDERATION
TODAY.
THE 6-10 DAY PRECIPITATION PROG IS BASED ON THE CPC AUTO FORECAST... NEURAL NET
AND ANALOG SPECIFICATIONS FROM THE OFFICIAL BLENDED HEIGHTS... AND THE CPC
CALIBRATED PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLES. THE CDC
PRECIPITATION FORECAST WAS NOT AVAILABLE FOR CONSIDERATION TODAY.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR DEC 14 - 20 2006:
THE ENSEMBLE RUNS FOR WEEK 2 ARE PREDICTING RELATIVELY MINOR DIFFERENCES WITH
THE OFFICIAL MEAN CIRCULATION PATTERN ANTICIPATED FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD.
THEY DO HOWEVER INDICATE SOME WEAKENING OF THE ICELANDIC UPPER LOW. THE
OPERATIONAL 0Z AND 6Z GFS RUNS PREDICT SIMILARLY PHASED CIRCULATION FEATURES AS
THE ENSEMBLES BUT ARE MORE AMPLIFIED AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE. THE 0Z
OPERATIONAL GFS RUN ALSO ANTICIPATES CONSIDERABLE PROGRESSION OF HIGHER
LATITUDE FEATURES SUCH AS THE GULF OF ALASKA TROUGH AND THE JAMES BAY RIDGE.
IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE ENTIRE CONTIGUOUS U.S. WILL BE DOMINATED BY
RELATIVELY MILD PACIFIC AIR DURING THIS WEEK 2 PERIOD. STORMY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... THE ALASKA
PANHANDLE... AND THE EASTERN CONUS DURING WEEK 2.
THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON
DECEMBER 21.
^^^^^^^^^^what he said^^^^^^Quote:
Originally Posted by truth
Redbaron - please help us none weather geeks. I leave for Utah in 7 days
Are we sheep floating in the water or do we have a boat? And what good will a World War I Flying Ace or a Spanish sea captain do us, especially if we don't have a boat?Quote:
Originally Posted by gonzo
We can never have enough :fm:Quote:
Originally Posted by elevens
Oh we have a Captain alright, and his ship arrives in one more day.Quote:
Originally Posted by gonzo
Come Sail Away come sail away come sail away with me....
http://tetongravity.com/forums/attac...tid=5396&stc=1
I am the Captain, so climb aboard...no search for tomorrow...on every shore...
And I....carry on....(come on Hop- corbus live awaitin')
http://tetongravity.com/forums/attac...tid=5402&stc=1
planning on heading to alta next wednesday and thursday, so it will definately dump next friday.
jet stream please come and visit the southwest, these families of highs are overstaying their welcome.
Ok, enough is enough....did you really have to bring the scariest picture ever released on TGR back from the dead? That's one hell of an anti-jinx.
the weather will give'r
shit looks like its heading ashore. any "futurecast" type radar projections ?????
I futurecast that it ain't gonna do shit here.:cussing:
this high pressure needs to scoot!
i blame red barron. he left us for naught.
holeee shit my pants is this one gonna be big. batten down the hatches and call in the kids and dogs. stock up on food and water and gas cause the tahoe basin is gonna get shut down big-time w/ this storm of the century.
there, that oughtta do it:fuckyou: heh
Given the current state of affairs, even this big fucker won't fuck us big enough.
Here's the top of KT-22:
http://www.tetongravity.com/forums/a...1&d=1165535642
^^ Oh man! That's plain sad. I'm feeling for you guys.
**ANTIJINX**
Friday..Cloudy With A Few Flurries. Alpine High Minus 2. Snowfall Accumulation 5 To 10 Cm. Freezing Level Surface.
Mountain Top Winds Southwest 30 Km/H Gusting To 50.
5 Day Trend..A Series Of Low Pressure Systems Will Bring Snow To The Area Over The Weekend And Into The Early Part Of Next Week.
Extended Forecast For Whistler - Blackcomb.
Saturday.. Periods Of Light Snow. Snowfall Accumulation 5 To 10 Cm.
Freezing Level 1500 Metres.
Sunday.. Snow. Snowfall Accumulation 15 To 20 Cm. Freezing Level 1000 Metres.
Monday.. Snow. Snowfall Accumulation 10 To 15 Cm. Freezing Level 1250 Metres.
Still looks good, but we seem to have lost a lot of the snow since they last forecasted. Why does this always happen? The way things are going by Saturday we'll be getting flurries at best...Maybe the storm will get you guys down south after all! We can never get enough up here, so bring it on.
***ANTIJINX***
Waiting anxiously for my Alta trip next week.
What sayeth the maggot collective?
Anti JINX!
http://image.weather.com/looper/arch...?1165588309259
^^^^^^^^^^
what is of real interest is currently over Kamchatka. That is a pool of serious cold air and the models are expecting at least a piece to phase with that strong jet in the middle of the Pacific as it consolidates and heads towards the west coast.
antijinx
What would be an ETA on that Kamchatka system?Quote:
Originally Posted by Rontele
Moving in on the West coast middle to end of next week.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mcwop
Yes indeed. Even Snyder at NOAA is starting to get psyched.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rontele
Quote:
I FEEL COMPELLED TO LOOK BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD TO NEXT WEEKEND.
THERE IS EXCELLENT GFS ENSEMBLE AGREEMENT THAT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
MOISTURE TAP WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO OUR REGION AS A COLD EASTERN
PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INLAND. WITH COLDER AIR FILTERING INTO THE CWFA
WITH THE TROUGH MOVING SOUTH/INLAND...AT LEAST THE SIERRA MAY
FINALLY BE IN FOR A GOOD DUMPING OF SNOW. STAY TUNED...AS DETAILS OF
ANYTHING 200+ HOURS AWAY ARE SPECULATIVE.
So..... where is this thing going? Whistler/Baker or Tahoe? Where o' where should I drive...
Seriously. CA is going to be dry till March.Quote:
Originally Posted by AKA
My last day of work is the 15th.... This all could come together nicely..
anitjinx
I'm flying out to Pittsburgh PA on the 19th. Anyone want to take bets what that means?:rolleyes2
Kamchatka. Heh.
I should caution every Coloraggot looking at this forecast that the local guys still are painting a very uncertain picture regarding the handling of these troughs. The models are not giving them much to work with in respect to any sort of run to run consistency. They seem tentative to paint any widespread pops and it may take a couple of days for the inconsistencies to settle out.
:confused:Quote:
Originally Posted by alpinedad
There's more snow on the ground than that here @ 6200', shit, even at my house at 4000ish there is more... :(
Quote:
Originally Posted by alpinedad
well played.:nonono2: :nonono2: :nonono2:
You guys make me laugh....Quote:
Originally Posted by Mcwop
but while we're on the subject:
http://www.vidbusters.com/~casey/Sat_1.jpg
http://www.vidbusters.com/~casey/Sat_2.jpg
Yup, it is that jet streak over where Mongolia is that is to be watched in the upcoming week.
Upper Mongolian weather systems are so hot right now...
THe Hansel of jet streaks.Quote:
Originally Posted by skier666