You mean atmospheric river?
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Doesn't sound real promising.Quote:
A very weak brief ridge subtly influences the region on Monday
before a low over the Gulf of Alaska protrudes through W WA.
Ensembles are hinting at a very moist southwesterly flow being
tapped in from the Pacific and pulling it right into our region.
Models are trying to signal a potential atmospheric river through
the remainder of the long term, although ensemble and
deterministic guidance vary on intensity and location. These
details will likely be monitored over the next couple of days.
Temperatures do look to warm in the long term, with highs in the
50s, and overnight lows staying in the mid 40s.
I have higher hopes for the signals models send.
I put no faith in any forecast that is not calling for snow and cold temps a this point.
Those late Sunday predictions will clearly be wrong.
Just saying you might want to ski this weekend.
I agree with Ey_allen on all his statements including where i went…
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Good fer da base
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This was sent to me…it has some important information http://youtu.be/zNUErUCzjvw?si=5ChYhFfJekWpSCqLg
Lulz!
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That is beautifully done!! 🤣🤣🤣
Hot in Florida
Straight nuking on the webcams
You're welcome f*ckers
Some hope with awareness of a potential washout early next week.
https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt...cc.96.0000.gif
https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt...cc.96.0000.gif
Quick mission to Stevens this morning. Still coming down hard, so I'll be back up tomorrow. Later today will be even better, but coverage is still quite thin out there.
I only got yelled at once by the crew setting up for the rail jam so skiers beware I guess.
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Nuking at my place all morning
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forecast discussion
https://t4.ftcdn.net/jpg/04/39/61/05...Bah4Vprh4f.jpgQuote:
A wetter system will impact the area by Saturday morning,
bringing along copious amounts of moisture, breezy conditions, and
more mountain snow. Winds look to definitely be breezy throughout
the coast and the interior by Saturday morning, and will need to
be monitored for a potential wind advisory. Snow levels will
slowly rise to around 2500 to 3000 feet throughout Saturday
evening. Even with snow levels being a touch higher, heavy
mountain snow will still continue, and moderate to heavy rain can
be expected elsewhere. This timeframe onward is when hydrologic
concerns will heightened, with rising rivers and snowmelt runoff,
because precipitation will compound on each other in the next
several days.
An atmospheric river will push into Western Washington early on
Sunday, bringing widespread moderate rainfall throughout the area,
with the heaviest rain likely in the Olympic basins, along with
the Cascades. Another round of breezy winds are likely as well,
especially areas near the water (coastal locations and areas
around Whidbey Island northward). Snow levels will rise to around
5500 to 6000 feet by Sunday afternoon, limiting snow to the higher
elevations in the mountains. With snow levels rising during this
time and relatively warm rain falling on fresh snow, hydrologic
impacts can be expected, especially with the continuous swath of
moisture, this will make river flooding more likely along with
snowmelt runoff in the mountains. See the hydro section down below
for more details.
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...A second, stronger
atmospheric river will impact W WA by Monday morning and last into
Tuesday. Ensemble model guidance depicts a strong plume of
southwesterly Pacific moisture being aimed directly in our
region. Guidance is leaning towards this system being the
strongest in terms of precipitation and moisture for the area,
with temperatures exceeding 50 degrees. On top of that, snow
levels rise even more to around 7000 to 8000 feet. By this time
rivers will likely be running at elevated levels, this will be a
very heightened timeframe for multiple rivers reaching flood
stage, and several other elevated hydrologic impacts. More info
will likely be ironed out in the coming days as we get more river
and QPF guidance.
Lol!
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Attachment 477985Attachment 477987
Later in the day was very good…
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Hell yea!
Nice
Daaaang!
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Good first day at crustal with better than expected surface conditions. The Arrival Experience™ was top notch and the Potemkin Village is coming along nicely.
We're farming the low angle goods in Beaver valley today... Might make it up to Stevens tomorrow AM. First wave of the storm was more generous than forecasted!
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...60f0992fab.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...5f9b4dd3c8.jpg
Anyone ski crystal Saturday?
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I cant seem to find any info about this online, but do either White Pass or Mission Ridge offer daycare onsite?
Mission daycare is no more
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Mission rode nice both Friday morning and Sunday afternoon (until wind closed Chair 2), was happy to see the cat track to 3 open! But the real jewel was the nearly 2' that fell on Hwy 2, backyard pow laps in effect
Attachment 478323
I think they are using it as a locker room but don’t quote me. Jackattack would know for sure
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Not a pineapple: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/...-rain-and.html
More of a hot tamale?
I stand corrected!
Kahlua Hot Tamale
1 part Kahlua
1 part tequila
3 drops hot sauce
A little disappointing that it comes in a standard shot glass and there is no cute li'l umbrella. At crustal, we like our umbrellas.
In the meantime I'll be hoping the next AR comes in on the cooler side and lays down a couple feet of spackle.
good for the base, bad for the basement
Signature worthy there, caulfield!
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Nice to see the precipitation form turn a little whiter finally on webcams...
If I'm reading it right, looks like nearly 6 inches of rain landed at Sea Tac since Dec 1st, just a soaker in town since the faucet turned on late last week.