Big Dump...Low Levels...

It's a step in the right direction:

Big Dump, Low snow levels


Friday night into Saturday, expect a moderate to big snow dump. This system has some good potential and will help build the bases. We could see some snow down to near sea level. That would be fun. We are getting closer to opening in many spots. Snow levels will be excellent, dropping to 500ft by later Saturday into Sunday. Expect 6"-18" between Friday night and Sunday morning. Beyond that, the snow pattern looks good with several new inches each day and low snow levels. By Wednesday and Thursday the snow level goes up to 7000-8000ft -- bummer! But it looks like it will fall after that. So, no worries.


We are getting closer to more openings. Mt Baker should be much improved by later Saturday into Sunday


Larry Schick


Meteorologist, Grand Pubah of Powder

This differs a little bit from the NWAC, but it gives a slightly more positive result.

Hopefully forcast will come to fruition.

http://www.nwac.us/products/SABNW.

Schick dump? Ugh....

Who needs NWAC or NOAA when you can check the weather with "Larry Schick the Grand Pubah of Powder" brought to you by the ski areas of Washington - so guaranteed to be completely B.S. free?

check http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sew/get.php?...il=AFD&sid=SEW - for the forecasters forecast.

It does look like things are staring to swing our way though - about time.

Well since we are posting the 'anti-jinx' forecasts here- I can update that KIRO also believes in a fairly good size storm - but it was funny- Steve Poole the other night on KOMO said he could not use the 'S' word during a forecast as to not to jinx it ;) Gotta love that!

8"+ today; Another 12"+ Saturday; and 2-4" for Sunday followed by (pause...for frustration) a potent Pineapple Express on Wed/Thursday. Let's hope the freezing levels later this week drop down to at least 5,000 feet.

Pending on snowfall Saturday- I'll be somewhere on Sunday (most likely Baker)

All thems wurds iz tu much fer me. I jus lyke the purty pichurs:
http://www.weather.com/maps/geograph...animated.html?

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Originally Posted by PNWbrit

Who needs NWAC or NOAA when you can check the weather with "Larry Schick the Grand Pubah of Powder" brought to you by the ski areas of Washington - so guaranteed to be completely B.S. free?

check http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sew/get.php?...il=AFD&sid=SEW - for the forecasters forecast.

It does look like things are staring to swing our way though - about time.

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:rolleyes2

It's a freakin' weather report for cryin' out loud sent to me in an email...just passing it along. This wasn't meant to be a pissing contest for who has the better crystal ball.

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Originally Posted by Squirrel99

Well since we are posting the 'anti-jinx' forecasts here- I can update that KIRO also believes in a fairly good size storm - but it was funny- Steve Poole the other night on KOMO said he could not use the 'S' word during a forecast as to not to jinx it ;) Gotta love that!

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Superstition - still peering cave are we? Time to go hunt and gather? BAH!! :p

Peeve Stool rools.

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Originally Posted by KQ

:rolleyes2

It's a freakin' weather report for cryin' out loud sent to me in an email...just passing it along. This wasn't meant to be a pissing contest for who has the better crystal ball.

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Sorry, KQ.
It's like the eternal dweeb: I can't help but make fun of him.

My bad.

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Originally Posted by Squirrel99

a potent Pineapple Express on Wed/Thursday. Let's hope the freezing levels later this week drop down to at least 5,000 feet.

Pending on snowfall Saturday- I'll be somewhere on Sunday (most likely Baker)

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Crapola! And this will be the second time I'll be covering on the grenade. What's with this year?

Well, my crystal ball is much better than yours.

In any event, I believe Sunday might be the day for Baker. ALthough, if chair 6 is not running, I might reconsider.

http://www.skicrystal.com/img/crysta...cmsnowcam2.jpg

[Yogi Bear]Rocks and weeds and berrybushes. YUCK! Where's them pick-a-nick-a baskets?[/YB]

LOL!!! We're pissin' over the potential for snow and the Utards have been skiing for a month now.........

http://www.stevenspass.com/webcam/stevenspass.jpg

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Originally Posted by KQ

LOL!!! We're pissin' over the potential for snow and the Utards have been skiing for a month now.........

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Actually, for about 45 days or so since mid-October 'cause I've got the voicemails, pictures, and emails to prove it :nonono2:

Looking at all the record books and history, it looks like we've got our work cut out for us to get an average snow year in the PNW. It'll probably be good, but not the Epic winter we all covet.

Just wait until next year with a La Nina in effect (damn, now I sound like the Chicago Cubs!). But like the Cubs, there's hope in the forecast this week! (fingers crossed) :cool:

i have nothing to say.

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Originally Posted by Zeedashbo

i have nothing to say.

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Lawyering up? What have you done now?

i'm all stoked out. my stoke tank is on empty. i'm not even pumped up to ski right now. it's almost like girls and beer are taking precedence over skiing, which has never happened before. i forgot what face shots feel like. powder is as foreign as the dude who makes my kung pao chicken. i've got so much pent up energy all my girlfriends are scared they'll be walking like a duck for the next week. i'm even pondering a move to utah for the season, and i fear mormons more than fat chicks. this is my suicide note.

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Originally Posted by Zeedashbo

i forgot what face shots feel like.

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That's what she said.......

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Originally Posted by Zeedashbo

i'm all stoked out. my stoke tank is on empty. i'm not even pumped up to ski right now. it's almost like girls and beer are taking precedence over skiing, which has never happened before. i forgot what face shots feel like. powder is as foreign as the dude who makes my kung pao chicken. i've got so much pent up energy all my girlfriends are scared they'll be walking like a duck for the next week. i'm even pondering a move to utah for the season, and i fear mormons more than fat chicks. this is my suicide note.

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Sounds like we need to rally for a Z-Bo intervention, if for nothing else than to spare all those poor girls the pain and agony that is likely to ensue. Not to mention that I have a personal vested interest in Z-Bo NOT moving to Utah. Let the healing begin Sunday at Baker!

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Originally Posted by girlski0912

Let the healing begin Sunday at Baker!

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I'm confident fresh snow will be just the 'smelling salts' he needs to blast him out of this funk.

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Originally Posted by The AD

I'm confident fresh snow will be just the 'smelling salts' he needs to blast him out of this funk.

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That was my thought as well. I am also thinking that being surrounded by likeminded dirtbags will be a very condusive environment to remind him that skiing comes before the girls and beer.

I went to Baker today... it was snowing nonstop all day. Not super heavy pukage, but consistent and a touch windy too.
Watch out for the lurking rocks out there! DO NOT ski anything in between Pan Face and Austin (assuming they "open" that area) unless you really truly don't care about your boards. North Face was surprisingly good. Blueberrys=good to go. Swift Creek=don't go unless you like bushwhacking.

If y'all come up on Sunday bring skins. We might need them! ;)

tomorrow should be alright, even in the inbounds. today was not too shabby, especially in the afternoon. how many of you slackers will be there?

I am in the same dark place as Z-Bo. It's like Ullr is telling me to focus on my career or some shit. I haven't even gotten my pass picture taken yet, they only have 8 inches at mid-mountain. I hiked for turns last sunday, and as it got later I noticed the sparks coming off my edges. This season sucks so bad right now.
I'll forgive this if we get the season to "shift" and get to ski decent snow into August 2005.

So..much...snow...falling... wheee! And wet. Ugh. But good, yaaaah! Soaked thru... meh...

What?

I'm going to Baker. What radio channel? I forget. :biggrin: Hope to see some of you there.

Don't look at the forecast for late next week. :nonono2:

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Originally Posted by funkendrenchman

Don't look at the forecast for late next week. :nonono2:

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When you get established out here funken, you'll realize that they can't even half-ass predict more than 3 days out. The forecast for this week was crazy high freezing levels towards Wednesday and Thursday of this week, and its been changed to moderate to decently big snowfall. How about this gem from today's (Sunday) weather forecast for tomorrow (Monday) from NWAC --

"An active, varied and difficult to predict weather pattern is
indicated for Monday. Increasing southwest flow should carry
another weakening front to the Northwest Monday morning. Offshore
surface flow should initially help limit the increasing mountain
snowfall. Further increasing and slightly warmer southwest flow
is indicated to carry a complex of deep surface low pressure
centers over the Northwest later Monday and Tuesday morning. This
should cause increasing snow at sites in the Olympics and
Cascades."

So essentially they can't decide what its going to do TOMORROW -- Surface flow will limit increasing mountain snowfall, yet it should still cause increasing snow? WTF?

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Originally Posted by BakerBoy

When you get established out here funken, you'll realize that they can't even half-ass predict more than 3 days out. The forecast for this week was crazy high freezing levels towards Wednesday and Thursday of this week, and its been changed to moderate to decently big snowfall. How about this gem from today's (Sunday) weather forecast for tomorrow (Monday) from NWAC --

"An active, varied and difficult to predict weather pattern is
indicated for Monday. Increasing southwest flow should carry
another weakening front to the Northwest Monday morning. Offshore
surface flow should initially help limit the increasing mountain
snowfall. Further increasing and slightly warmer southwest flow
is indicated to carry a complex of deep surface low pressure
centers over the Northwest later Monday and Tuesday morning. This
should cause increasing snow at sites in the Olympics and
Cascades."

So essentially they can't decide what its going to do TOMORROW -- Surface flow will limit increasing mountain snowfall, yet it should still cause increasing snow? WTF?

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Same deal here in CO... I'm sure the accuracy of forecasts here is comparable to the PNW. I usually, look at the most general trends for long range forecasts, but I know even those aren't right most of the time.

i hate all of you, if my "storm" misses me ......well a mob will be started

goddamn Bachelor forecast was for 6"-9" on Saturday, with continued fugliness sundaay and through the week

Saturday - fukkin' nada.
Sunday - 2 measly inches.
Monday 5 a.m. - 2 inches in town and 3 on the hill, still snowing.

I need POW damnit!

Q13 Fox News says about 16"-20" for Stevens Pass by Wednesday and 12"-20" for Snoqualmie. Keep drinking "Mountain Approved Beer" this week.
It worked for our weekend at Baker.

And summary update for Seattle:
A wet week ahead for us, with juicy systems lined up one after the other. Today will be rainy with a few moments of dryness in between. Mostly cloudy and showery on Tuesday. Wednesday looks like the stormiest day with rain and wind. Showers on Thursday. Rain on Friday. And the temperatures and snow levels rise throughout the week -- so will the ski resorts open this weekend? It remains to be seen. Updated Monday 6:24 a.m. Meteorologist M.J. McDermott

How much more snow for Stevens to open?

If they get the forecasted amount I'm sure they will open. Things are looking slightly better on the freezing level front, too.

From the snow reports Whistler is looking much improved in the last week.

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Originally Posted by char

How much more snow for Stevens to open?

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Zeedash was up there yesterday - says another 2-3 feet to open. I think we'll be close this week to opening. Maybe Thursday or Friday if these storms produce and the freezing levels drop.

Keep thinking winter. The North Cascades looked amazing last night when we left Baker.

I was gonna type something but the forecast is rather depressing right now..

at least baker was good.

Fourteen inches since Monday!!!

http://www.stevenspass.com/webcam/stevenspass.jpg

And Crystal............

http://www.skicrystal.com/img/crysta...cmsnowcam2.jpg

Baker is reporting 15" since yesterday with a 52" base. Anyone who isn't up there is a ....




um, nevermind.

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Originally Posted by grrrr

Baker is reporting 15" since yesterday with a 52" base. Anyone who isn't up there is a ....

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Poor workin' stiff with deadlines to meet :frown: