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Snow for squaw/tahoe
WINDS WILL INCREASE TUES NIGHT WITH ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA POSSIBLE BY LATE TUES NGT THRU WED AS 700 MB FLOW INCREASES TO NEAR 50 KT. MIN TEMPS WERE ALREADY RAISED A FEW DEGREES TUES NIGHT DUE TO WIND AND CLOUD COVER BUT WILL LIKELY NEED A FURTHER INCREASE IF THE TROF ARRIVES AS INDICATED BY THE CONSENSUS MODEL GUIDANCE. MJD
.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... CONTINUED THE TREND OF UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND. ONCE AGAIN MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS STRONG ZONAL FLOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH NUMEROUS DISORGANIZED DISTURBANCES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE GFS HAS THE FLOW BUCKLE SUNDAY WITH A MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEM TAKING AIM AT THE NORTHERN SIERRA. GFS ENSEMBLES ARE FAIRLY STABLE WITH THIS SOLUTION. THE ECMWF IS THE ODD MODEL OUT AND HAS A RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE WEST COAST NEXT WEEKEND GIVING A MUCH DIFFERENT DRY WEATHER SCENARIO. THE ECMWF IS ONE OF THE BETTER LONGER TERM MODELS AND IS DISTURBING TO SEE SUCH A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE COMPARED TO THE OTHERS. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE WETTER SOLUTIONS AS GFS AND OTHER MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH A DEEP EAST PAC TROUGH FOR SOME TIME NOW. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS STAYING THE MIDDLE GROUND AND WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED ONE WAY OR ANOTHER AS SOON AS CONSISTENCIES BETWEEN ECMWF AND GFS IMPROVES. MILNE
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Castle Peak had around 10 or so inches Saturday morning near the summit. Winter wonderland up there.
